YES Price
7¢
7% implied
NO Price
93¢
93% implied
Volume
$13.5K
218 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 88 traders
Will Russia enter Bilozerske by...?
2 MARKETS · $36.2K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs10 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 7¢
YES 29%NO 71%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 7¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 10 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
In-form wallets ⓘ2 of 3 on NO
YES 1NO 2one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on YES
2 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 2 days ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.5K is directional: YES $420·NO $3.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$420
Avg Win Rate
65.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$242(-57.5%)
Whales
4
P
plla🥇
Entry 18¢·1,905.1 shares
Invested
$336
Win Rate
65.4%
Position P&L
$-212
$-212INV $336 · WR 65.4%
D
DumplingBMF◆Proven🥈
Entry 8¢·504.1 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $39 · WR 68.9%
B
bolla-577🥉
Entry 16¢·178.4 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $28 · WR 69.2%
O
Oskoreiter
Entry 11¢·160 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $17 · WR 57.0%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$551(+17.8%)
Whales
10
T
TralaleloTralalala🥇
Entry 74¢·1,279.6 shares
Invested
$945
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$251
+$251INV $945 · WR 56.3%
C
clazzy1🥈
Entry 74¢·719 shares
Invested
$536
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$137
+$137INV $536 · WR 67.5%
A
AChad🥉
Entry 78¢·662.7 shares
Invested
$514
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $514 · WR 56.9%
G
GlockShoot
Entry 92¢·545.5 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
78.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $500 · WR 78.0%
F
FoolingAround
Entry 86¢·258.5 shares
Invested
$222
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $222 · WR 57.5%
L
LetMeBeYourValentine
Entry 91¢·120 shares
Invested
$109
Win Rate
73.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $109 · WR 73.1%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 87¢·107.4 shares
Invested
$93
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $93 · WR 68.1%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 80¢·100 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $80 · WR 65.2%
M
mmdolei2
Entry 88¢·56.8 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $50 · WR 80.0%
U
Username0709
Entry 92¢·43.5 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $40 · WR 55.1%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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