PoliticsResolved
Will Renato Casagrande win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$14.9K
459 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 153 traders
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs23 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.0K is directional: YES $3.0K·NO $45YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+45.8%)
Whales
11
M
MSFTQQQ🥇
Entry 94¢·2,618.3 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$108
+$108INV $2.5K · WR 84.6%
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥈
Entry 54¢·1,825.8 shares
Invested
$980
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$846
+$846INV $980 · WR 63.4%
M
Mximus🥉
Entry 93¢·380 shares
Invested
$352
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $352 · WR 56.3%
A
archaichedged
Entry 10¢·905.6 shares·also $789 on NO
Invested
$93
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
+$813
+$813INV $93 · WR 86.8%
E
Elias.Thornwell
Entry 92¢·80.6 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
68.2%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $75 · WR 68.2%
B
Blue-Horseshoe◆Proven
Entry 99¢·62.6 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $62 · WR 72.4%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 97¢·1.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 66.7%
M
MadKarenTrades
Entry 2¢·56 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $1 · WR 56.3%
O
osmych
Entry 93¢·1.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
89.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 89.8%
Showing top 9 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.0K
Avg Win Rate
85.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$959(-93.2%)
Whales
23
A
archaic🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·808.3 shares·also $93 on YES
Invested
$789
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
$-789
$-789INV $789 · WR 86.8%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 23¢·237.7 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 87.7%
W
Worthless-Beak🥉
Entry 34¢·94.4 shares
Invested
$32
Win Rate
81.4%
Position P&L
$-32
$-32INV $32 · WR 81.4%
B
bacs2000
Entry 52¢·49.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 62.2%
B
balthazar
Entry 7¢·316.2 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 72.2%
S
Seeking-Alpha01
Entry 10¢·176.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $18 · WR 67.3%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 7¢·75 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 8¢·50 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 79.6%
N
northdrawer
Entry 5¢·67.6 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 87.7%
M
merod
Entry 11¢·25.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 84.1%
Showing top 10 of 23
Smart Whale Trades
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