Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
YES Price
47¢
47% implied
NO Price
53¢
53% implied
Volume
$2.2K
105 trades
Smart Whales
17
of 61 traders
Israeli Legislative Election: % of Vote Below Threshold
4 MARKETS · $12.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election
44¢−35¢$1.3K1/10Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election−35¢44¢
$1.3K1/10
Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election←
47¢−6¢$2.2K7/10Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election←−6¢47¢
$2.2K7/10
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Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs10 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $218 is directional: YES $218·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$218
Avg Win Rate
67.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$37(-16.8%)
Whales
7
D
deepervalue🥇
Entry 95¢·43 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $41 · WR 71.9%
H
HolyMoses7◆Proven🥈
Entry 68¢·59.6 shares
Invested
$41
Win Rate
77.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $41 · WR 77.7%
V
vinii🥉
Entry 27¢·136.2 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $37 · WR 66.3%
C
0xcb9b0f25...
Entry 83¢·43.1 shares
Invested
$36
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $36 · WR 58.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 60¢·42 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $25 · WR 61.5%
S
Sardinianshepherd
Entry 74¢·32 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $24 · WR 68.0%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 69¢·22.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $15 · WR 55.6%
NO Team
Total Invested
$39
Avg Win Rate
63.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-7.2%)
Whales
10
P
Pricey-Million🥇
Entry 70¢·17.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $12 · WR 60.2%
H
Hasty-Worker🥈
Entry 68¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 60.1%
F
fourcoin15m🥉
Entry 65¢·8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 84.6%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 81¢·5.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 59.9%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 40¢·7.2 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $3 · WR 59.7%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 40¢·5.2 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 60.1%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 30¢·5.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 57.3%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarian
Entry 30¢·5 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2 · WR 60.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 33¢·2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
81.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 81.7%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 59¢·0.6 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 59.7%
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