Politics6 days left

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

View on Polymarket

YES Price

28¢

28% implied

NO Price

72¢

72% implied

Volume

$404

27 trades

Smart Whales

7

of 24 traders

Israeli Legislative Election: % of Vote Below Threshold

4 MARKETS · $1.2K MATCHED

Smart Money

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election←

28¢−3¢$4041/3

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive less than 4% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election←−3¢28¢

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election

12¢+21¢$2691/2

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 4% and 6% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election+21¢12¢

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election

23¢+2¢$3201/3

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election+2¢23¢

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election

15¢−15¢$1690/3

Will parties below the electoral threshold receive 8% or higher of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election−15¢15¢

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Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs5 NO

29%71%

71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 1 NO taking a side

Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges

+10 new YES$69+14 new NO$184

$104 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum

1 smart whale3 smart whales

Both-sides exposure · invested basis

No wallet here holds both sides — all $39 is directional: YES $5·NO $34

YES Team

Total Invested

$11

Avg Win Rate

58.4%

Aggregate P&L

-$0(-3.6%)

Whales

2

RandyHickey🥇hedged

Entry 31¢·20 shares·also $14 on NO

$-1INV $6 · WR 55.0%

Entry 25¢·20 shares

+$0INV $5 · WR 62.7%

NO Team

Total Invested

$60

Avg Win Rate

72.8%

Aggregate P&L

+$0(+0.0%)

Whales

5

HolyMoses7Proven🥇

Entry 68¢·50 shares

+$1INV $34 · WR 77.6%

RandyHickey🥈hedged

Entry 72¢·20 shares·also $6 on YES

—INV $14 · WR 55.0%

fourcoin15m🥉

Entry 84¢·8 shares

$-1INV $7 · WR 84.3%

Entry 70¢·5 shares

+$0INV $4 · WR 72.1%

Entry 78¢·2 shares

$-0INV $2 · WR 83.4%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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