Tech/AIResolved
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$79.3K
1,545 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 315 traders · 1 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
34 YESvs35 NO
49%51%
51% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 19% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 15 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $965 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $184·NO $779YES Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
62.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.2K(-83.4%)
Whales
34
K
KiernanMeister◆Proven🥇
Entry 53¢·1,492.9 shares
Invested
$784
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-784
$-784INV $784 · WR 63.4%
L
lamyk🥈hedged
Entry 33¢·1,824 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$601
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-601
$-601INV $601 · WR 56.8%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 53¢·871.2 shares·also $531 on NO
Invested
$457
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-457
$-457INV $457 · WR 65.8%
N
Nostdam
Entry 55¢·269.2 shares
Invested
$149
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-149
$-149INV $149 · WR 57.7%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 40¢·300 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
$-119
$-119INV $119 · WR 70.5%
B
balthazarhedged
Entry 7¢·1,113.3 shares·also $148 on NO
Invested
$83
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $83 · WR 72.2%
G
Generous-Legitimacy
Entry 59¢·32.8 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
70.4%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $19 · WR 70.4%
S
Suet-Lam
Entry 44¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 61.6%
2
0x2f5aae8b...
Entry 60¢·8.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 56.0%
C
coockie.daddy
Entry 39¢·6.7 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 74.6%
Showing top 10 of 34
NO Team
Total Invested
$19.6K
Avg Win Rate
70.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$11.7K(+59.7%)
Whales
35
I
iutwpfal🥇
Entry 70¢·16,417.8 shares
Invested
$11.4K
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$4991
+$4991INV $11.4K · WR 74.1%
T
The-Joker◆Proven🥈
Entry 62¢·3,074.8 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
+$1176
+$1176INV $1.9K · WR 70.0%
L
lamyk🥉hedged
Entry 57¢·2,759.1 shares·also $601 on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$1196
+$1196INV $1.6K · WR 56.8%
D
Dragontree◆Proven
Entry 50¢·1,257.8 shares
Invested
$629
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
+$629
+$629INV $629 · WR 67.4%
M
molodoyy◆Proven
Entry 47¢·1,276.2 shares
Invested
$604
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
+$672
+$672INV $604 · WR 63.6%
V
viniihedged
Entry 70¢·755.7 shares·also $457 on YES
Invested
$531
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$225
+$225INV $531 · WR 65.8%
R
Rumpelstiltskin
Entry 50¢·960 shares
Invested
$484
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$476
+$476INV $484 · WR 57.1%
K
KiruaTrading
Entry 50¢·717.7 shares
Invested
$359
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
+$359
+$359INV $359 · WR 61.5%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 53¢·444.4 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$209
+$209INV $235 · WR 56.1%
M
Mithrandir.
Entry 77¢·230.1 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
69.8%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $177 · WR 69.8%
Showing top 10 of 35
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 607ms