Tech/AI18 days left
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$7.0K
318 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 102 traders
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
21 MARKETS · $39.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$5526/12Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$5526/12
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+10¢$8602/18Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+10¢0¢
$8602/18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
67¢−40¢$17.5K9/24Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026−40¢67¢
$17.5K9/24
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$7502/17Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$7502/17
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+28¢$6135/13Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+28¢0¢
$6135/13
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$8532/16Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$8532/16
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
29¢+1¢$2.6K7/16Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+1¢29¢
$2.6K7/16
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+36¢$4415/9Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+36¢0¢
$4415/9
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
3¢+14¢$1.6K3/15Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+14¢3¢
$1.6K3/15
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+42¢$4775/7Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+42¢0¢
$4775/7
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+36¢$4825/9Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+36¢0¢
$4825/9
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+38¢$4955/8Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+38¢0¢
$4955/8
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+15¢$8833/17Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+15¢0¢
$8833/17
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+11¢$8512/16Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+11¢0¢
$8512/16
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026←
1¢+20¢$7.0K6/22Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026←+20¢1¢
$7.0K6/22
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$5136/12Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$5136/12
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+31¢$5095/11Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+31¢0¢
$5095/11
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+10¢$7752/19Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+10¢0¢
$7752/19
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+31¢$5865/11Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+31¢0¢
$5865/11
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
6 YESvs24 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 97% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+4 new YES$0+2 new NO$30
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $41 is directional: YES $40·NO $1YES Team
Total Invested
$328
Avg Win Rate
80.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$320(-97.7%)
Whales
6
S
shangqian🥇hedged
Entry 90¢·202.3 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$182
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
$-180
$-180INV $182 · WR 92.9%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥈hedged
Entry 84¢·95.7 shares·also $116 on NO
Invested
$81
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $81 · WR 67.1%
B
bmtr🥉
Entry 22¢·142.5 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $31 · WR 63.5%
S
Spherical-Fringehedged
Entry 67¢·37.7 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 65.5%
V
vinii
Entry 8¢·99.8 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $8 · WR 65.8%
Showing top 5 of 6
NO Team
Total Invested
$775
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.0K(+133.6%)
Whales
24
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu🥇hedged
Entry 28¢·411.3 shares·also $81 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$291
+$291INV $116 · WR 67.1%
T
Tee1000🥈
Entry 50¢·162.3 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $81 · WR 81.8%
G
gmgmgmgmg🥉
Entry 60¢·122.2 shares
Invested
$74
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $74 · WR 79.2%
P
plainfolder
Entry 53¢·120 shares
Invested
$64
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $64 · WR 86.0%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 50¢·120.2 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $60 · WR 84.9%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 50¢·100.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$49
+$49INV $50 · WR 88.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 51¢·92.6 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $47 · WR 85.9%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$39
+$39INV $40 · WR 83.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 78¢·50 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $39 · WR 89.3%
S
shangqianhedged
Entry 13¢·202.3 shares·also $182 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $26 · WR 92.9%
Showing top 10 of 24
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