Tech/AI43 days left
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?
YES Price
36¢
36% implied
NO Price
64¢
64% implied
Volume
$3.4K
169 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 63 traders
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
21 MARKETS · $22.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+27¢$4173/8Will Alibaba have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+27¢0¢
$4173/8
Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+18¢$5122/9Will Amazon have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+18¢0¢
$5122/9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
64¢−35¢$9.5K6/15Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026−35¢64¢
$9.5K6/15
Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+23¢$5153/10Will Baidu have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+23¢0¢
$5153/10
Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+23¢$5033/10Will ByteDance have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+23¢0¢
$5033/10
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+18¢$5052/9Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+18¢0¢
$5052/9
Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
1¢+28¢$6134/10Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+28¢1¢
$6134/10
Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+22¢$4412/7Will Meituan have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+22¢0¢
$4412/7
Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
1¢+14¢$7402/11Will Meta have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+14¢1¢
$7402/11
Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+27¢$4573/8Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+27¢0¢
$4573/8
Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$4823/7Will MiniMax have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$4823/7
Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+30¢$4593/7Will Mistral have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+30¢0¢
$4593/7
Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+23¢$5353/10Will Moonshot have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+23¢0¢
$5353/10
Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+18¢$5092/9Will Nvidia have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+18¢0¢
$5092/9
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026←
36¢−15¢$3.4K3/11Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026←−15¢36¢
$3.4K3/11
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+33¢$4434/8Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+33¢0¢
$4434/8
Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+18¢$4542/9Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+18¢0¢
$4542/9
Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+25¢$5033/9Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+25¢0¢
$5033/9
Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026
0¢+20¢$4792/8Will Thinky have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026+20¢0¢
$4792/8
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 87% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%
+0 new YES$0+4 new NO$57
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $207 is directional: YES $180·NO $27YES Team
Total Invested
$180
Avg Win Rate
66.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$81(+44.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$385
Avg Win Rate
84.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$85(+22.1%)
Whales
12
T
Tee1000🥇
Entry 50¢·162.3 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
81.9%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $81 · WR 81.9%
G
GingerMcKenna🥈
Entry 50¢·120.2 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $60 · WR 85.5%
L
LesterDiamond🥉
Entry 50¢·100.2 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $50 · WR 89.2%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $40 · WR 83.8%
M
midturn.rekt
Entry 51¢·72.6 shares
Invested
$37
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $37 · WR 85.9%
M
Majas
Entry 81¢·32.9 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $27 · WR 73.6%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 65¢·40 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $26 · WR 88.8%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 89.4%
K
korda77
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
85.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $20 · WR 85.0%
P
plainfolder
Entry 68¢·20 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 12
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 340ms