48 days left
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
25¢
25% implied
NO Price
75¢
75% implied
Volume
$28.2K
632 trades
Smart Whales
48
of 180 traders
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
12 MARKETS · $201.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs37 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 25¢
YES 23%NO 77%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 25¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 62% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
$47
$114
+5 new YES · 1 smart whale+3 new NO
$23 bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ6 of 6 on YES
YES 6NO 0one dot = one wallet
6 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 35h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.3K is directional: YES $1.4K·NO $875YES Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
67.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$188(+13.2%)
Whales
11
S
SteveTheFish🥇
Entry 30¢·3,436.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $1.0K · WR 65.9%
B
bobo2025🥈
Entry 29¢·600 shares
Invested
$175
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $175 · WR 73.5%
C
chaosj88◆Proven🥉
Entry 20¢·400.5 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $78 · WR 85.1%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 6¢·558 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $34 · WR 56.1%
R
rabbit007◆Proven
Entry 24¢·144 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $34 · WR 61.8%
S
sippingdrank
Entry 22¢·122 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $27 · WR 65.8%
S
SnapElectionAvoider◆Proven
Entry 2¢·966.2 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
61.0%
Position P&L
+$206
+$206INV $17 · WR 61.0%
R
Romiche22◆Proven
Entry 8¢·180 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $14 · WR 56.9%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 3¢·168 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$34
+$34INV $5 · WR 84.3%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 3¢·15 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $1 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 10 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.1K
Avg Win Rate
81.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-16.4%)
Whales
37
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 96¢·3,176 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-688
$-688INV $3.1K · WR 79.2%
L
Lucerys🥈
Entry 98¢·1,335.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-315
$-315INV $1.3K · WR 87.7%
D
dlbbbdbdbdblw🥉
Entry 93¢·822 shares
Invested
$764
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-131
$-131INV $764 · WR 66.7%
D
donthackme
Entry 99¢·738 shares
Invested
$728
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-178
$-178INV $728 · WR 87.4%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 88¢·731.2 shares
Invested
$644
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $644 · WR 86.1%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 74¢·495.4 shares
Invested
$365
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $365 · WR 86.5%
B
balthazar
Entry 89¢·347 shares
Invested
$307
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $307 · WR 71.9%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 97¢·275 shares
Invested
$266
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $266 · WR 88.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 99¢·258.3 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-63
$-63INV $256 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 99¢·220 shares
Invested
$217
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $217 · WR 89.0%
Showing top 10 of 37
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