85 days left
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$8.3K
420 trades
Smart Whales
30
of 101 traders · 1 on both sides
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
12 MARKETS · $65.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs22 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+7 new YES$43+10 new NO$230
$23 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$3 of $781 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $602·NO $176YES Team
Total Invested
$652
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$192(+29.5%)
Whales
9
H
Hauchn🥇
Entry 19¢·2,271.3 shares
Invested
$443
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $443 · WR 55.6%
S
SteveTheFish🥈
Entry 17¢·839.5 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $142 · WR 66.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed🥉hedged
Entry 74¢·40 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $30 · WR 55.2%
T
Trevor-Philips
Entry 22¢·80 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $18 · WR 75.0%
E
e46m3hedged
Entry 3¢·50 shares·also $9 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.5%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $2 · WR 79.5%
U
Unnatural-Insulation
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $0 · WR 58.1%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 0¢·339 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$78
+$78INV $0 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 7 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
82.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$261(+17.4%)
Whales
22
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 72¢·400.7 shares
Invested
$289
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $289 · WR 85.9%
G
godblessme2026🥈
Entry 73¢·244 shares
Invested
$178
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $178 · WR 88.2%
G
GingerMcKenna🥉
Entry 50¢·335.8 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$92
+$92INV $168 · WR 84.9%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 65¢·237.9 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $155 · WR 89.0%
G
gmgmgmgmg
Entry 80¢·152.1 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $122 · WR 79.1%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·216.4 shares
Invested
$108
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $108 · WR 79.6%
R
robertoo
Entry 85¢·119 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $101 · WR 63.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 78¢·87 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $68 · WR 86.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·130.4 shares
Invested
$65
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $65 · WR 85.7%
D
dlbbbdbdbdblw
Entry 70¢·75 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $53 · WR 65.6%
Showing top 10 of 22
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