Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by between 40% and 60%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$35.5K
1,130 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 252 traders
Smart Money Consensus
37 YESvs43 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $1.7K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$4.6K
Avg Win Rate
66.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.0K(-88.0%)
Whales
37
K
KimchiCapital🥇hedged
Entry 70¢·903.7 shares·also $420 on NO
Invested
$630
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
$-630
$-630INV $630 · WR 79.3%
4
4751346🥈
Entry 63¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$628
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-628
$-628INV $628 · WR 72.8%
F
flawfence◆Proven🥉
Entry 35¢·1,466 shares
Invested
$517
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-517
$-517INV $517 · WR 55.4%
T
theta-thunberg
Entry 49¢·915.8 shares
Invested
$447
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-447
$-447INV $447 · WR 56.4%
P
Parz1vaI
Entry 49¢·743.5 shares
Invested
$364
Win Rate
71.6%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $364 · WR 71.6%
G
G.Hchen
Entry 33¢·1,050.5 shares
Invested
$349
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-349
$-349INV $349 · WR 56.9%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 37¢·899.9 shares·also $469 on NO
Invested
$333
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
$-333
$-333INV $333 · WR 63.4%
B
bernardbulletinhedged
Entry 40¢·817.4 shares·also $418 on NO
Invested
$329
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
$-329
$-329INV $329 · WR 69.3%
K
Knowing-Arthur-Ash
Entry 52¢·281.4 shares
Invested
$145
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $145 · WR 59.7%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 43¢·190 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $81 · WR 80.8%
Showing top 10 of 37
NO Team
Total Invested
$9.0K
Avg Win Rate
77.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.3K(+70.2%)
Whales
43
Q
quietparcel🥇
Entry 60¢·2,182 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$868
+$868INV $1.3K · WR 88.7%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 53¢·2,428.6 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1130
+$1130INV $1.3K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 63¢·1,163.7 shares
Invested
$737
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$427
+$427INV $737 · WR 72.2%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 44¢·1,422.8 shares
Invested
$632
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$791
+$791INV $632 · WR 55.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 59¢·953.8 shares
Invested
$560
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$394
+$394INV $560 · WR 87.7%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 50¢·948.8 shares
Invested
$478
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$471
+$471INV $478 · WR 59.8%
K
KiernanMeisterhedged
Entry 52¢·900 shares·also $333 on YES
Invested
$469
Win Rate
63.4%
Position P&L
+$431
+$431INV $469 · WR 63.4%
K
KimchiCapitalhedged
Entry 37¢·1,128.6 shares·also $630 on YES
Invested
$420
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$708
+$708INV $420 · WR 79.3%
B
bernardbulletinhedged
Entry 83¢·500.7 shares·also $329 on YES
Invested
$418
Win Rate
69.3%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $418 · WR 69.3%
L
lomneivan
Entry 50¢·623.4 shares
Invested
$312
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
+$312
+$312INV $312 · WR 69.0%
Showing top 10 of 43
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