Politics445 days left
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?
YES Price
6¢
6% implied
NO Price
94¢
94% implied
Volume
$120.4K
2,315 trades
Smart Whales
99
of 629 traders · 1 on both sides
Maduro Prison Time?
5 MARKETS · $913.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time
56¢−16¢$538.9K71/108Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time−16¢56¢
$538.9K71/108
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison←
6¢+21¢$120.4K27/73Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison←+21¢6¢
$120.4K27/73
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison
4¢+25¢$62.4K24/59Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison+25¢4¢
$62.4K24/59
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs72 NO
28%72%
72% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 20 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 100%· net of hedges
+2 new YES$5+4 new NO$159
$9 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$2 of $829 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $93·NO $733YES Team
Total Invested
$971
Avg Win Rate
73.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$653(-67.3%)
Whales
28
P
pppooooolllmmmk🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·360 shares·also $58 on NO
Invested
$359
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
$-336
$-336INV $359 · WR 76.2%
F
flow-trader-at-optiver🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·220.1 shares·also $39 on NO
Invested
$212
Win Rate
81.6%
Position P&L
$-198
$-198INV $212 · WR 81.6%
D
DooBieZ🥉
Entry 94¢·150 shares
Invested
$142
Win Rate
62.8%
Position P&L
$-132
$-132INV $142 · WR 62.8%
I
ImJustKenhedged
Entry 3¢·879.4 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$30
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $30 · WR 61.2%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 7¢·319.8 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $21 · WR 66.8%
F
Full-Flatboat
Entry 6¢·333.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 58.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 20¢·80 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $16 · WR 79.6%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBillyhedged
Entry 5¢·286.6 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$14
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $14 · WR 57.7%
D
dpowcash
Entry 7¢·157.1 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
73.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $11 · WR 73.3%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven
Entry 8¢·106.5 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $8 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.4K
Avg Win Rate
73.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.9K(+22.1%)
Whales
72
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 93¢·2,402.2 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $2.2K · WR 57.7%
I
ImJustKen🥈hedged
Entry 94¢·1,309 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1.2K · WR 61.2%
I
influenz.eth🥉
Entry 75¢·1,381.6 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$263
+$263INV $1.0K · WR 85.8%
A
aviato
Entry 92¢·733.3 shares
Invested
$677
Win Rate
91.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $677 · WR 91.3%
D
donthackme
Entry 70¢·750.6 shares
Invested
$523
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$180
+$180INV $523 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 60¢·490 shares
Invested
$295
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $295 · WR 88.2%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 63¢·390.7 shares
Invested
$245
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $245 · WR 88.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 89¢·245.1 shares
Invested
$219
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $219 · WR 86.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 93¢·232.5 shares
Invested
$216
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $216 · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar
Entry 91¢·216.2 shares
Invested
$196
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $196 · WR 72.2%
Showing top 10 of 72
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 859ms