YES Price
21¢
21% implied
NO Price
79¢
79% implied
Volume
$5.0K
61 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 44 traders · 1 on both sides
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
8 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 55 million views on day 1←
21¢+12¢$5.0K1/2Will MrBeast's next video get at least 55 million views on day 1←+12¢21¢
$5.0K1/2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1
12¢−12¢$6970/1Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1−12¢12¢
$6970/1
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1
32¢−32¢$5350/2Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1−32¢32¢
$5350/2
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1
26¢+74¢$2.9K3/0Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1+74¢26¢
$2.9K3/0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1
16¢—$3580/0Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1—16¢
$3580/0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1
22¢—$830/0Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1—22¢
$830/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs7 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 21¢
YES 36%NO 64%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 21¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 60% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
$1.4K
$2.5K
+16 new YES · 5 smart whales+30 new NO · 7 smart whales
$687 bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ3 of 3 on YES
YES 3NO 0one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 32h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$30 of $988 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $571·NO $387YES Team
Total Invested
$586
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$241(-41.1%)
Whales
4
G
Gabriell11🥇
Entry 51¢·606.1 shares
Invested
$308
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-175
$-175INV $308 · WR 55.6%
N
Nostdam🥈
Entry 25¢·831.1 shares
Invested
$210
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $210 · WR 58.1%
1
0x11eaaf41...🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·80.4 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $48 · WR 58.8%
O
OnlyPhan◆Proven
Entry 40¢·50 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $20 · WR 84.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$408
Avg Win Rate
64.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$58(+14.2%)
Whales
7
.
.brain.🥇
Entry 68¢·461 shares
Invested
$313
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $313 · WR 64.0%
C
cryboy89🥈
Entry 89¢·50 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $44 · WR 56.1%
O
opus28🥉
Entry 83¢·24 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $20 · WR 79.7%
1
0x11eaaf41...hedged
Entry 50¢·29.4 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $15 · WR 58.8%
U
Unwelcome-Plaintiff-Photograph
Entry 75¢·12.5 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $9 · WR 57.4%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 33¢·17.8 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
88.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $6 · WR 88.5%
4
4xc3dfa18b3
Entry 46¢·2.2 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
84.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $1 · WR 84.6%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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