🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
1 days left

Will MrBeast's next video get at least 55 million views on day 1?

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
15¢
15% implied
NO Price
85¢
85% implied
Volume
$5.9K
87 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 64 traders · 1 on both sides

# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

8 MARKETS · $12.6K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

5 YESvs14 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 15¢
YES 26%NO 74%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 15¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 38% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 73%· net of hedges
+19 new YES · 4 smart whales+37 new NO · 13 smart whales
$940 bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 3 · 2
YES 3NO 2one dot = one wallet
3 wallets on YES
2 wallets on NO

The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 32h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested

Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$30 of $1.5K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $571·NO $936
YES Team
Total Invested
$586
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$523(-89.3%)
Whales
5
G
Gabriell11🥇
Entry 51¢·606.1 shares
$-284INV $308 · WR 55.6%
N
Nostdam🥈
Entry 25¢·831.1 shares
$-177INV $210 · WR 58.1%
1
0x11eaaf41...🥉hedged
Entry 60¢·80.4 shares·also $15 on NO
$-45INV $48 · WR 58.8%
O
OnlyPhanProven
Entry 40¢·50 shares
$-18INV $20 · WR 84.8%
H
haveagoodday
Entry 9¢·2.2 shares
$-0INV $0 · WR 86.6%

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 41ms
Smart money 24% YES: MrBeast's next video get at least 55…