Politics230 days left
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?
YES Price
86¢
86% implied
NO Price
14¢
14% implied
Volume
$2.1K
139 trades
Smart Whales
16
of 59 traders
Oaxaca Congress Election Winner
36 MARKETS · $62.0K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election
14¢−14¢$1.8K0/7Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election−14¢14¢
$1.8K0/7
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election
63¢−21¢$1.0K5/7Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election−21¢63¢
$1.0K5/7
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election
57¢−24¢$2.1K2/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election−24¢57¢
$2.1K2/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election
52¢−32¢$1.0K1/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election−32¢52¢
$1.0K1/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election
64¢−10¢$2.0K7/6Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election−10¢64¢
$2.0K7/6
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election
31¢−14¢$1.3K1/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election−14¢31¢
$1.3K1/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election
58¢−8¢$2.2K5/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election−8¢58¢
$2.2K5/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election
72¢−43¢$1.5K2/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election−43¢72¢
$1.5K2/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election
23¢+17¢$5542/3Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election+17¢23¢
$5542/3
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election
84¢−44¢$2.3K4/6Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election−44¢84¢
$2.3K4/6
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election
71¢−38¢$2.3K3/6Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election−38¢71¢
$2.3K3/6
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election
24¢−24¢$3660/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election−24¢24¢
$3660/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election
67¢−23¢$1.1K4/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election−23¢67¢
$1.1K4/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election
66¢−33¢$1.3K4/8Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election−33¢66¢
$1.3K4/8
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election
84¢−67¢$2.0K2/10Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election−67¢84¢
$2.0K2/10
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election
77¢−22¢$2.6K6/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election−22¢77¢
$2.6K6/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election
18¢−18¢$2610/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election−18¢18¢
$2610/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election←
86¢−53¢$2.1K5/10Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election←−53¢86¢
$2.1K5/10
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election
1¢−1¢$4480/7Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election−1¢1¢
$4480/7
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election
10¢−2¢$2.2K1/11Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election−2¢10¢
$2.2K1/11
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election
5¢−5¢$6340/8Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election−5¢5¢
$6340/8
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election
0¢0¢$4690/9Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election0¢0¢
$4690/9
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election
1¢+13¢$5091/6Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election+13¢1¢
$5091/6
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election
81¢−43¢$4.1K3/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election−43¢81¢
$4.1K3/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election
17¢−10¢$9521/13Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election−10¢17¢
$9521/13
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election
77¢−39¢$2.0K3/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election−39¢77¢
$2.0K3/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election
23¢−23¢$7060/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election−23¢23¢
$7060/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election
60¢−22¢$3.1K5/8Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election−22¢60¢
$3.1K5/8
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election
65¢−27¢$4883/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election−27¢65¢
$4883/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election
91¢−51¢$5.8K6/9Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election−51¢91¢
$5.8K6/9
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election
82¢−26¢$3.0K5/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election−26¢82¢
$3.0K5/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election
78¢−42¢$2.0K5/9Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election−42¢78¢
$2.0K5/9
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election
71¢−35¢$2.0K4/7Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election−35¢71¢
$2.0K4/7
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election
65¢−1¢$2.2K7/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election−1¢65¢
$2.2K7/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs11 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 92%· net of hedges
+6 new YES$533+13 new NO$65
$41 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $797 is directional: YES $792·NO $4YES Team
Total Invested
$792
Avg Win Rate
74.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$162(+20.4%)
Whales
5
A
Antony82🥇
Entry 76¢·500.3 shares
Invested
$378
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $378 · WR 61.8%
A
archaic🥈
Entry 74¢·407.1 shares
Invested
$302
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$65
+$65INV $302 · WR 86.7%
G
greden22🥉
Entry 76¢·74 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $56 · WR 90.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven
Entry 72¢·70 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
76.2%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $50 · WR 76.2%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 68¢·8.9 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 66.5%
NO Team
Total Invested
$116
Avg Win Rate
81.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$68(-58.5%)
Whales
11
R
Revolving-Stimulus-Pride🥇
Entry 50¢·61.4 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $31 · WR 85.5%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 22¢·125 shares
Invested
$27
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $27 · WR 85.9%
L
Loose-Alloy🥉
Entry 50¢·27.2 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $14 · WR 75.5%
G
Gorgeous-Shirtdress-Vibraphone
Entry 50¢·25.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $13 · WR 77.5%
D
Deserted-Surroundings
Entry 50¢·21.7 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $11 · WR 78.5%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 36¢·30 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $11 · WR 79.6%
H
Hugin-og-Munin
Entry 64¢·5 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 66.7%
G
god83743894
Entry 9¢·30 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $3 · WR 85.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 19¢·10 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $2 · WR 89.0%
L
luciebot
Entry 23¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 83.3%
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