Politics237 days left
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election?
YES Price
70¢
70% implied
NO Price
30¢
30% implied
Volume
$1.5K
76 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 34 traders
Guerrero Congress Election Winner
36 MARKETS · $24.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election
16¢−16¢$1.1K0/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Aguascalientes Congress election−16¢16¢
$1.1K0/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election
47¢+53¢$4174/0Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Congress election+53¢47¢
$4174/0
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election
54¢−14¢$9782/3Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Baja California Sur Congress election−14¢54¢
$9782/3
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election
38¢—$400/0Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Campeche Congress election—38¢
$400/0
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election
54¢+6¢$1.4K6/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chiapas Congress election+6¢54¢
$1.4K6/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election
31¢—$3090/0Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election—31¢
$3090/0
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election
43¢0¢$9463/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Colima Congress election0¢43¢
$9463/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election
40¢−40¢$2200/2Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Durango Congress election−40¢40¢
$2200/2
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election
31¢−6¢$3281/3Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election−6¢31¢
$3281/3
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election←
70¢−20¢$1.5K4/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election←−20¢70¢
$1.5K4/4
Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election
3¢−3¢$1510/4Will PAN win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election−3¢3¢
$1510/4
Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election
20¢−20¢$2910/3Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election−20¢20¢
$2910/3
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election
3¢−3¢$1510/4Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election−3¢3¢
$1510/4
Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election
35¢−35¢$3620/3Will PT win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election−35¢35¢
$3620/3
Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election
3¢−3¢$3000/2Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Guerrero Congress election−3¢3¢
$3000/2
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election
70¢−26¢$1.4K4/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Hidalgo Congress election−26¢70¢
$1.4K4/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election
24¢−24¢$2160/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Jalisco Congress election−24¢24¢
$2160/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election
50¢−12¢$9743/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico City Congress election−12¢50¢
$9743/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election
46¢−26¢$1681/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Michoacán Congress election−26¢46¢
$1681/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election
50¢−17¢$1.2K3/6Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Morelos Congress election−17¢50¢
$1.2K3/6
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election
55¢−35¢$6941/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nayarit Congress election−35¢55¢
$6941/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election
28¢−28¢$730/1Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Nuevo León Congress election−28¢28¢
$730/1
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election
55¢−37¢$9792/9Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election−37¢55¢
$9792/9
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election
54¢−37¢$5741/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election−37¢54¢
$5741/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election
23¢−6¢$5631/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election−6¢23¢
$5631/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election
66¢−37¢$5332/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election−37¢66¢
$5332/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election
32¢−32¢$4160/2Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 San Luis Potosí Congress election−32¢32¢
$4160/2
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election
45¢−5¢$1.3K4/6Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sinaloa Congress election−5¢45¢
$1.3K4/6
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election
54¢−21¢$4102/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Sonora Congress election−21¢54¢
$4102/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election
60¢−43¢$1.4K1/5Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 State of Mexico Congress election−43¢60¢
$1.4K1/5
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election
81¢−18¢$2.1K5/3Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tabasco Congress election−18¢81¢
$2.1K5/3
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election
64¢−28¢$1.2K4/7Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tamaulipas Congress election−28¢64¢
$1.2K4/7
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election
50¢−30¢$3431/4Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Tlaxcala Congress election−30¢50¢
$3431/4
Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election
58¢−1¢$7874/3Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Veracruz Congress election−1¢58¢
$7874/3
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs4 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 73%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$202+7 new NO$100
$78 of this was bought on both sides by the same 3 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $581 is directional: YES $581·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$581
Avg Win Rate
70.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$58(-10.0%)
Whales
4
A
Antony82🥇
Entry 68¢·501.6 shares
Invested
$344
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $344 · WR 61.7%
A
archaic🥈
Entry 60¢·304.3 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
86.8%
Position P&L
—
—INV $183 · WR 86.8%
T
TheOne777◆Proven🥉
Entry 85¢·56.2 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $48 · WR 75.7%
T
tzquantalpha001
Entry 76¢·9.5 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 66.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$67
Avg Win Rate
79.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$7(+10.5%)
Whales
4
M
merod🥇
Entry 19¢·161 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
84.1%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $31 · WR 84.1%
D
Deserted-Surroundings🥈
Entry 50¢·36.2 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
74.8%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $18 · WR 74.8%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 37¢·40 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $15 · WR 72.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 38¢·10 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $4 · WR 85.9%
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