Geopolitics19 days left
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
YES Price
10¢
10% implied
NO Price
90¢
90% implied
Volume
$34.2K
1,394 trades
Smart Whales
71
of 245 traders · 2 on both sides
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
11 MARKETS · $197.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
34¢+20¢$53.6K64/55Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+20¢34¢
$53.6K64/55
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
1¢+13¢$10.5K6/37Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+13¢1¢
$10.5K6/37
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
1¢+4¢$11.2K2/36Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+4¢1¢
$11.2K2/36
Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
2¢+3¢$10.7K2/35Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+3¢2¢
$10.7K2/35
Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
0¢+17¢$7.1K4/19Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+17¢0¢
$7.1K4/19
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
2¢+7¢$9.0K3/32Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+7¢2¢
$9.0K3/32
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026←
10¢+14¢$34.2K16/52Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026←+14¢10¢
$34.2K16/52
Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
1¢+12¢$11.5K4/26Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+12¢1¢
$11.5K4/26
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026
1¢+13¢$9.0K5/32Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026+13¢1¢
$9.0K5/32
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs53 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 17 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+16 new YES$372+17 new NO$1.6K
$170 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales3 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$11 of $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $409·NO $1.2KYES Team
Total Invested
$477
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$170(-35.7%)
Whales
20
C
Contentious-Dinnerdate◆Proven🥇
Entry 15¢·1,300 shares
Invested
$195
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-85
$-85INV $195 · WR 56.0%
M
molodoyy◆Proven🥈
Entry 16¢·752.1 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
63.6%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $123 · WR 63.6%
B
bgdogbit🥉
Entry 20¢·169.4 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
70.0%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $34 · WR 70.0%
X
X-Rabbit.Sezu
Entry 11¢·210 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $23 · WR 67.1%
R
robert-mukhametov
Entry 17¢·97.9 shares
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $17 · WR 59.7%
K
kroko
Entry 6¢·95.2 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $6 · WR 56.3%
G
GingerMcKennahedged
Entry 15¢·28.5 shares·also $152 on NO
Invested
$4
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 84.9%
Y
yeahhFan
Entry 14¢·30 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $4 · WR 72.0%
D
donthackme
Entry 4¢·100 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $4 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 3¢·55 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2 · WR 79.6%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.4K(+43.8%)
Whales
53
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 48¢·3,270.3 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$1383
+$1383INV $1.6K · WR 85.9%
Q
quietparcel🥈
Entry 54¢·664.6 shares
Invested
$361
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$238
+$238INV $361 · WR 88.7%
S
shangqian🥉
Entry 88¢·397.1 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $350 · WR 92.9%
D
dedidanc◆Proven
Entry 86¢·330.1 shares
Invested
$285
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $285 · WR 62.1%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 56¢·430.9 shares
Invested
$243
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$145
+$145INV $243 · WR 89.3%
E
e46m3
Entry 86¢·236.4 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $204 · WR 79.6%
A
athena08
Entry 89¢·224.5 shares
Invested
$201
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $201 · WR 79.8%
C
chaosj88◆Proven
Entry 39¢·482.5 shares
Invested
$189
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
+$246
+$246INV $189 · WR 86.4%
P
plainfolder
Entry 51¢·310.3 shares
Invested
$158
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$121
+$121INV $158 · WR 86.0%
G
GingerMcKennahedged
Entry 83¢·183.2 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$152
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $152 · WR 84.9%
Showing top 10 of 53
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 761ms