YES Price
63¢
63% implied
NO Price
37¢
37% implied
Volume
$13.8K
491 trades
Smart Whales
22
of 164 traders · 1 on both sides
CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
3 MARKETS · $22.7K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs15 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 74%· net of hedges
+13 new YES$703+22 new NO$336
$273 of this was bought on both sides by the same 9 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $744 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $739·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$764
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1(-0.2%)
Whales
8
H
Hot-SkullHomelessBegger🥇
Entry 78¢·505.4 shares
Invested
$393
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $393 · WR 77.8%
S
Sardinianshepherd🥈
Entry 77¢·266.2 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
67.9%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $204 · WR 67.9%
I
i2dt🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·112.5 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$81
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $81 · WR 69.9%
T
title1◆Proven
Entry 82¢·73.5 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $60 · WR 55.6%
C
chocolatepuddinghedged
Entry 32¢·51 shares·also $44 on NO
Invested
$16
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $16 · WR 57.5%
M
msklhedged
Entry 35¢·15 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $5 · WR 59.5%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 75¢·4 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
68.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $3 · WR 68.7%
B
Brave-Timbale-Witch
Entry 20¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 60.4%
NO Team
Total Invested
$362
Avg Win Rate
77.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$12(+3.3%)
Whales
15
E
e46m3🥇
Entry 41¢·248 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
79.4%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $100 · WR 79.4%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 35¢·174.8 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $62 · WR 72.0%
C
chocolatepudding🥉hedged
Entry 86¢·51 shares·also $16 on YES
Invested
$44
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $44 · WR 57.5%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 32¢·112 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
88.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $35 · WR 88.8%
D
donthackme
Entry 17¢·180.9 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $31 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·60 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $30 · WR 85.9%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 38¢·48.4 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $18 · WR 86.0%
M
msklhedged
Entry 75¢·15 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $11 · WR 59.5%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 28¢·27 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $8 · WR 88.0%
P
pollo07
Entry 20¢·28.5 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
85.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $6 · WR 85.4%
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