19 days left
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?
YES Price
23¢
23% implied
NO Price
77¢
77% implied
Volume
$20.6K
398 trades
Smart Whales
44
of 126 traders
3rd Largest Company end of October?
10 MARKETS · $60.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs36 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 9 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+14 new YES$733+42 new NO$5.2K
$112 of this was bought on both sides by the same 8 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales11 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $11.8K is directional: YES $1.5K·NO $10.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.6K
Avg Win Rate
61.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.6K(+166.7%)
Whales
8
H
Hauchn🥇
Entry 15¢·4,486.7 shares
Invested
$653
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$378
+$378INV $653 · WR 55.6%
S
shovelingdigging◆Proven🥈
Entry 19¢·2,382.6 shares
Invested
$454
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$94
+$94INV $454 · WR 66.9%
S
SteveTheFish🥉
Entry 4¢·10,714 shares
Invested
$379
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$2085
+$2085INV $379 · WR 66.3%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 12¢·249.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $30 · WR 55.7%
R
romanew-cryp
Entry 25¢·5.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
70.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 70.8%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 3¢·3 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $0 · WR 59.8%
Showing top 6 of 8
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.1K
Avg Win Rate
74.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.1K(-15.9%)
Whales
36
B
BobInvestments🥇
Entry 97¢·10,050 shares
Invested
$9.8K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-2021
$-2021INV $9.8K · WR 72.1%
E
e46m3🥈
Entry 80¢·1,253.8 shares
Invested
$1.0K
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $1.0K · WR 79.6%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 68¢·554.1 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$51
+$51INV $376 · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 85¢·407.7 shares
Invested
$348
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $348 · WR 87.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 75¢·376.8 shares
Invested
$281
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $281 · WR 79.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 83¢·210.2 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $174 · WR 88.2%
K
korda77
Entry 84¢·202.4 shares
Invested
$169
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $169 · WR 85.2%
A
AhHoi
Entry 90¢·100 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $90 · WR 84.5%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 56¢·159.3 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $90 · WR 85.8%
D
DW1
Entry 85¢·100 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $85 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 36
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