81 days left
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
30¢
30% implied
NO Price
70¢
70% implied
Volume
$12.6K
568 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 124 traders
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
12 MARKETS · $89.8K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs25 NO
27%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 69% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 6 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 76%· net of hedges
+34 new YES$1.3K+48 new NO$2.8K
$1.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 27 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.7K is directional: YES $1.2K·NO $538YES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$547(+44.8%)
Whales
9
S
SteveTheFish🥇
Entry 22¢·3,320.8 shares
Invested
$721
Win Rate
66.3%
Position P&L
+$225
+$225INV $721 · WR 66.3%
H
Hauchn🥈
Entry 20¢·2,271.3 shares
Invested
$457
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$213
+$213INV $457 · WR 55.6%
T
Trevor-Philips🥉
Entry 22¢·80 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
75.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $18 · WR 75.0%
U
Unnatural-Insulation
Entry 0¢·20 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $0 · WR 58.1%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 0¢·339 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $0 · WR 55.7%
Showing top 5 of 9
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
80.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$151(+5.6%)
Whales
25
G
gmgmgmgmg🥇
Entry 77¢·464.6 shares
Invested
$358
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $358 · WR 79.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 78¢·361.2 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $280 · WR 85.9%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 74¢·250.9 shares
Invested
$185
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $185 · WR 87.7%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 82¢·207 shares
Invested
$170
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $170 · WR 88.2%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 50¢·335.8 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
84.9%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $168 · WR 84.9%
P
plainfolder
Entry 55¢·294 shares
Invested
$162
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $162 · WR 86.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 65¢·237.9 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $155 · WR 89.0%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 55¢·271.4 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $150 · WR 79.6%
D
dlbbbdbdbdblw
Entry 70¢·200 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
65.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $140 · WR 65.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 79¢·150 shares
Invested
$119
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $119 · WR 85.7%
Showing top 10 of 25
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