48 days left
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$10.4K
339 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 132 traders
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
10 MARKETS · $126.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
8 YESvs27 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 28¢
YES 23%NO 77%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 28¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 54%
$91
$107
+5 new YES · 1 smart whale+3 new NO
In-form wallets ⓘ6 of 6 on YES
YES 6NO 0one dot = one wallet
6 wallets on YES
0 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 35h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $545 is directional: YES $542·NO $3YES Team
Total Invested
$542
Avg Win Rate
65.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$349(+64.4%)
Whales
8
H
Hauchn🥇
Entry 22¢·1,145.1 shares
Invested
$255
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $255 · WR 56.6%
B
bobo2025🥈
Entry 34¢·509.5 shares
Invested
$176
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $176 · WR 73.5%
C
chaosj88◆Proven🥉
Entry 26¢·198.5 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
85.1%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $52 · WR 85.1%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 9¢·454 shares
Invested
$42
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $42 · WR 56.1%
S
SteveTheFish
Entry 32¢·46.8 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $15 · WR 65.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 2¢·55 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $1 · WR 79.6%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 3¢·14.4 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $1 · WR 60.4%
B
balthazar
Entry 0¢·490 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$150
+$150INV $0 · WR 71.9%
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
83.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$388(-19.6%)
Whales
27
Q
qwen300.fund🥇
Entry 96¢·265.7 shares
Invested
$256
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-66
$-66INV $256 · WR 86.1%
N
northdrawer🥈
Entry 97¢·209.3 shares
Invested
$203
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-53
$-53INV $203 · WR 87.5%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 97¢·198.3 shares
Invested
$193
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-51
$-51INV $193 · WR 87.4%
E
e46m3
Entry 96¢·175 shares
Invested
$168
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $168 · WR 79.2%
M
melchior1248
Entry 97¢·170 shares
Invested
$165
Win Rate
70.1%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $165 · WR 70.1%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 98¢·160.1 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
84.0%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $156 · WR 84.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 95¢·138 shares
Invested
$131
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-33
$-33INV $131 · WR 89.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 98¢·115 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $112 · WR 88.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 97¢·90 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $87 · WR 86.1%
L
Lucerys
Entry 76¢·109.1 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $83 · WR 87.7%
Showing top 10 of 27
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