YES Price
19¢
19% implied
NO Price
81¢
81% implied
Volume
$592
52 trades
Smart Whales
15
of 39 traders
2nd richest person on December 31?
5 MARKETS · $32.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31
12¢0¢$1.1K2/15Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 310¢12¢
$1.1K2/15
Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31
3¢+3¢$1.2K1/15Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31+3¢3¢
$1.2K1/15
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31
28¢−12¢$21.9K3/16Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31−12¢28¢
$21.9K3/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs12 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1 is directional: YES $1·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1
Avg Win Rate
67.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2(+267.4%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$203
Avg Win Rate
83.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$53(+26.0%)
Whales
12
M
mustbethewater🥇
Entry 100¢·40 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $40 · WR 79.7%
H
haveagoodday🥈
Entry 100¢·35 shares
Invested
$35
Win Rate
86.4%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $35 · WR 86.4%
G
godblessme2026🥉
Entry 100¢·30 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $30 · WR 87.9%
E
e46m3
Entry 100¢·25 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $25 · WR 79.2%
K
korda77
Entry 94¢·13.7 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 84.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 99¢·12.2 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
87.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 87.4%
L
luciebot
Entry 100¢·12 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $12 · WR 80.1%
B
balthazar
Entry 100¢·11 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $11 · WR 71.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 100¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
87.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 87.5%
I
Infatuated-Convenience
Entry 99¢·10 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $10 · WR 84.8%
Showing top 10 of 12
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