PoliticsResolved
Will Marcelo Aro win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$3.6K
262 trades
Smart Whales
23
of 86 traders
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs18 NO
22%78%
78% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $103 is directional: YES $2·NO $101YES Team
Total Invested
$292
Avg Win Rate
86.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$291(-99.8%)
Whales
5
P
poljdnn17🥇hedged
Entry 100¢·290 shares·also $132 on NO
Invested
$289
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
$-289
$-289INV $289 · WR 87.2%
Z
zhukov26🥈
Entry 1¢·140 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 61.7%
C
catalanpaths🥉
Entry 1¢·82.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.4%
F
FrozenParasitehedged
Entry 2¢·40 shares·also $84 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.2%
P
PollyForge
Entry 2¢·5 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
84.8%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $0 · WR 84.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$867
Avg Win Rate
82.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$966(+111.4%)
Whales
18
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥇
Entry 44¢·308.6 shares
Invested
$134
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$174
+$174INV $134 · WR 85.9%
P
poljdnn17🥈hedged
Entry 35¢·375 shares·also $289 on YES
Invested
$132
Win Rate
87.2%
Position P&L
+$243
+$243INV $132 · WR 87.2%
X
xcaiox🥉
Entry 88¢·114.6 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
76.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $101 · WR 76.6%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 50¢·180.4 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 88.2%
F
FrozenParasitehedged
Entry 63¢·133.6 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$84
Win Rate
57.2%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $84 · WR 57.2%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·158 shares
Invested
$79
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$79
+$79INV $79 · WR 89.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 50¢·110.5 shares
Invested
$55
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$55
+$55INV $55 · WR 79.6%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·107.1 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $54 · WR 79.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 52¢·87.3 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$42
+$42INV $46 · WR 89.3%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 25¢·80.3 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $20 · WR 88.7%
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