PoliticsResolved
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$32.1K
945 trades
Smart Whales
59
of 223 traders · 1 on both sides
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Amapá
29 MARKETS · $167.1K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá←
100¢−67¢$32.1K20/40Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá←−67¢100¢
$32.1K20/40
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre
1¢—$400/0Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Acre—1¢
$400/0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas
97¢−67¢$6.2K8/19Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Alagoas−67¢97¢
$6.2K8/19
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá
12¢+1¢$9.3K4/28Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá+1¢12¢
$9.3K4/28
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas
47¢−26¢$25.7K9/33Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas−26¢47¢
$25.7K9/33
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia
97¢−52¢$3.4K5/6Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Bahia−52¢97¢
$3.4K5/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará
97¢−37¢$5383/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Ceará−37¢97¢
$5383/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo
0¢0¢$2.6K0/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo0¢0¢
$2.6K0/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District
0¢0¢$1.6K0/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Federal District0¢0¢
$1.6K0/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás
1¢−1¢$2850/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Goiás−1¢1¢
$2850/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão
96¢−36¢$2.0K6/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Maranhão−36¢96¢
$2.0K6/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso
1¢—$4200/0Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso—1¢
$4200/0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul
1¢+32¢$3091/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul+32¢1¢
$3091/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais
7¢−7¢$4.1K0/13Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais−7¢7¢
$4.1K0/13
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará
81¢−46¢$23.4K12/22Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará−46¢81¢
$23.4K12/22
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba
98¢−31¢$1.9K10/5Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraíba−31¢98¢
$1.9K10/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná
2¢−2¢$3350/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Paraná−2¢2¢
$3350/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco
98¢−18¢$9644/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco−18¢98¢
$9644/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí
97¢−17¢$1.3K4/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Piauí−17¢97¢
$1.3K4/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro
3¢−3¢$6510/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro−3¢3¢
$6510/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte
97¢−37¢$3.6K9/6Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte−37¢97¢
$3.6K9/6
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul
1¢−1¢$1.2K0/1Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul−1¢1¢
$1.2K0/1
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia
0¢0¢$4080/2Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Rondônia0¢0¢
$4080/2
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima
1¢+32¢$2.1K2/4Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Roraima+32¢1¢
$2.1K2/4
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina
1¢−1¢$8060/5Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Santa Catarina−1¢1¢
$8060/5
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo
4¢+5¢$1.3K1/10Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from São Paulo+5¢4¢
$1.3K1/10
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe
97¢−42¢$3.8K6/5Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Sergipe−42¢97¢
$3.8K6/5
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Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs40 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 35% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$22 of $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $934·NO $1.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.7K
Avg Win Rate
64.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+51.9%)
Whales
20
S
seal7◆Proven🥇
Entry 76¢·3,399.8 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$800
+$800INV $2.6K · WR 60.3%
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥈
Entry 56¢·3,032.5 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
65.0%
Position P&L
+$1331
+$1331INV $1.7K · WR 65.0%
M
mirand◆Proven🥉
Entry 93¢·867.8 shares
Invested
$803
Win Rate
67.1%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $803 · WR 67.1%
M
Musk5
Entry 89¢·749.7 shares
Invested
$668
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $668 · WR 71.9%
R
Ryxon21hedged
Entry 55¢·352.4 shares·also $100 on NO
Invested
$193
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
+$159
+$159INV $193 · WR 71.3%
W
whig◆Proven
Entry 22¢·792.4 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
+$620
+$620INV $172 · WR 63.1%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 71¢·220 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
70.5%
Position P&L
+$64
+$64INV $156 · WR 70.5%
B
BiDiFakePollshedged
Entry 31¢·392.3 shares·also $354 on NO
Invested
$121
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$271
+$271INV $121 · WR 62.5%
R
RodrigoSpy
Entry 58¢·91.2 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $53 · WR 55.4%
E
estoicc
Entry 66¢·77.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $51 · WR 55.5%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.1K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.6K(-87.1%)
Whales
40
F
flawfence◆Proven🥇
Entry 42¢·4,037.9 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-1716
$-1716INV $1.7K · WR 55.4%
M
mrworldwide◆Proven🥈
Entry 30¢·1,845.2 shares
Invested
$550
Win Rate
76.3%
Position P&L
$-550
$-550INV $550 · WR 76.3%
B
BiDiFakePolls🥉hedged
Entry 90¢·392.3 shares·also $121 on YES
Invested
$354
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-354
$-354INV $354 · WR 62.5%
D
donthackme
Entry 45¢·437.1 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-197
$-197INV $197 · WR 87.7%
B
balthazar
Entry 25¢·665.3 shares
Invested
$163
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-163
$-163INV $163 · WR 72.2%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 49¢·274 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-135
$-135INV $135 · WR 89.3%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 40¢·284.8 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-113
$-113INV $113 · WR 59.6%
C
Conscious-Gaffer-Tortoise
Entry 50¢·205.2 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
79.2%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $103 · WR 79.2%
R
Ryxon21hedged
Entry 38¢·265.1 shares·also $193 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-100
$-100INV $100 · WR 71.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 19¢·312.9 shares
Invested
$59
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $59 · WR 88.2%
Showing top 10 of 40
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