80 days left
Will Lula announce the nomination of an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil by December 31?
YES Price
54¢
54% implied
NO Price
46¢
46% implied
Volume
$8.7K
417 trades
Smart Whales
8
of 98 traders · 1 on both sides
Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?
2 MARKETS · $8.8K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs4 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 52% YES by dollars · 3 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%
+2 new YES$44+4 new NO$109
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$5 of $220 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $113·NO $103YES Team
Total Invested
$127
Avg Win Rate
68.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$3(-2.5%)
Whales
5
W
willsom🥇
Entry 56¢·143.3 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $80 · WR 61.3%
B
BeginnersLuck2🥈
Entry 46¢·50 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
92.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $23 · WR 92.9%
D
DREAMBIG.🥉hedged
Entry 55¢·21 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $11 · WR 71.7%
S
SDODNDPD
Entry 92¢·10.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
73.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $10 · WR 73.8%
F
Fickle-Halt-Windowhedged
Entry 64¢·3.7 shares·also $71 on NO
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $2 · WR 58.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$355
Avg Win Rate
67.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$55(-15.6%)
Whales
4
M
Musk5🥇
Entry 73¢·337.2 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-91
$-91INV $248 · WR 71.9%
F
Fickle-Halt-Window🥈hedged
Entry 30¢·233.8 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$71
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $71 · WR 58.2%
C
Crazykekbr🥉
Entry 34¢·100 shares
Invested
$34
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $34 · WR 57.4%
D
DREAMBIG.hedged
Entry 13¢·21 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$3
Win Rate
71.7%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $3 · WR 71.7%
Smart Whale Trades
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