Politics13 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 12%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$25.3K
453 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 75 traders
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
8 MARKETS · $546.9K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs21 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 99%
+6 new YES$20+10 new NO$2.6K
2 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $2.4K is directional: YES $2.4K·NO $6YES Team
Total Invested
$2.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.4K(-98.0%)
Whales
13
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 9¢·22,202.1 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
$-2006
$-2006INV $2.0K · WR 72.2%
D
donthackme🥈
Entry 11¢·1,140.1 shares
Invested
$127
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-125
$-125INV $127 · WR 87.7%
P
Pure-Eyeliner🥉
Entry 11¢·635.3 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-70
$-70INV $71 · WR 56.6%
E
e46m3
Entry 11¢·557.4 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $62 · WR 79.6%
N
neverhackme
Entry 11¢·523.6 shares
Invested
$58
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 75.8%
L
lpgb
Entry 11¢·390.7 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $43 · WR 75.7%
Y
YouSayUpISayDown
Entry 11¢·109 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 59.7%
A
Affectionate-Monger
Entry 10¢·116 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
79.1%
Position P&L
$-12
$-12INV $12 · WR 79.1%
F
Flipadelphia
Entry 0¢·6,953.6 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $7 · WR 56.8%
L
LesterDiamond
Entry 7¢·50.1 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 88.1%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
81.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.8K(+342.6%)
Whales
21
Q
QMG-CORE🥇
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
81.2%
Position P&L
+$499
+$499INV $500 · WR 81.2%
Q
qwen4.1.fund🥈
Entry 16¢·882.1 shares
Invested
$137
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$743
+$743INV $137 · WR 85.9%
V
vamosgaming🥉
Entry 50¢·250 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$125
+$125INV $125 · WR 83.9%
V
VictorLudorum
Entry 35¢·323.6 shares
Invested
$113
Win Rate
88.2%
Position P&L
+$210
+$210INV $113 · WR 88.2%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 50¢·172 shares
Invested
$86
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $86 · WR 59.8%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$85
+$85INV $85 · WR 89.0%
G
god83743894
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 85.7%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 50¢·120 shares
Invested
$60
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$60
+$60INV $60 · WR 79.6%
H
HUGJJ88GG2
Entry 100¢·6 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
—
—INV $6 · WR 86.6%
B
Bigggggggg
Entry 0¢·1,857.7 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1853
+$1853INV $2 · WR 85.8%
Showing top 10 of 21
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