PoliticsResolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 2–4%?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$63.6K
715 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 179 traders
Smart Money Consensus
15 YESvs30 NO
33%67%
67% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 99% YES by dollars · 7 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $6.8K is directional: YES $6.7K·NO $77YES Team
Total Invested
$15.0K
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.1K(+41.1%)
Whales
15
A
almost-never🥇
Entry 99¢·5,109.1 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
73.2%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $5.1K · WR 73.2%
U
ultimateunicorn🥈
Entry 54¢·6,291.8 shares
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$2916
+$2916INV $3.4K · WR 72.2%
J
jpceia🥉
Entry 100¢·2,018 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $2.0K · WR 86.7%
N
Naropoly
Entry 97¢·1,602.1 shares
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
77.8%
Position P&L
+$44
+$44INV $1.6K · WR 77.8%
T
thanksforplayin
Entry 76¢·1,699.8 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$405
+$405INV $1.3K · WR 55.6%
R
rontro28
Entry 95¢·867.6 shares
Invested
$827
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $827 · WR 55.9%
A
Ajar-Safety
Entry 68¢·690 shares
Invested
$471
Win Rate
68.8%
Position P&L
+$219
+$219INV $471 · WR 68.8%
B
BiDiFakePolls◆Proven
Entry 90¢·303.5 shares
Invested
$272
Win Rate
62.4%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $272 · WR 62.4%
W
Wilted-Burden-Survivor
Entry 1¢·2,000.4 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$1979
+$1979INV $21 · WR 70.3%
P
prefict2027AT
Entry 97¢·20.6 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
68.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $20 · WR 68.3%
Showing top 10 of 15
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.4K
Avg Win Rate
75.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.7K(-90.2%)
Whales
30
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 22¢·14,553.8 shares
Invested
$3.2K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-3219
$-3219INV $3.2K · WR 72.0%
Q
qwen300.fund🥈
Entry 31¢·3,052.8 shares
Invested
$952
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-952
$-952INV $952 · WR 86.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat🥉
Entry 89¢·392.6 shares
Invested
$350
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-350
$-350INV $350 · WR 59.9%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 48¢·400.5 shares
Invested
$190
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
$-190
$-190INV $190 · WR 89.2%
D
donthackme
Entry 97¢·165.1 shares
Invested
$160
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-160
$-160INV $160 · WR 87.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 100¢·153 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
$-152
$-152INV $152 · WR 85.9%
N
northdrawer
Entry 99¢·123 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-122
$-122INV $122 · WR 87.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 99¢·123 shares
Invested
$121
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $121 · WR 86.1%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 45¢·178.3 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $81 · WR 59.5%
P
Pricey-Million
Entry 42¢·192.7 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-81
$-81INV $81 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 10 of 30
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