Politics9 days left
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?
YES Price
42¢
42% implied
NO Price
58¢
58% implied
Volume
$35.7K
357 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 162 traders
Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
6 MARKETS · $45.3K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate
21¢+7¢$3.7K7/18Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate+7¢21¢
$3.7K7/18
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate
10¢+10¢$2.2K4/16Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate+10¢10¢
$2.2K4/16
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate←
42¢−13¢$35.7K10/24Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate←−13¢42¢
$35.7K10/24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate
19¢+3¢$1.4K4/14Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Republicans win the US Senate+3¢19¢
$1.4K4/14
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
10 YESvs24 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 5 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$4.0K+31 new NO$2.3K
$841 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales5 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.6K is directional: YES $587·NO $3.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$861
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$24(-2.8%)
Whales
10
1
0x13801c62...🥇
Entry 16¢·1,814.1 shares
Invested
$282
Win Rate
58.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $282 · WR 58.9%
B
BeneGesseritVoice◆Proven🥈
Entry 45¢·457.6 shares
Invested
$204
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $204 · WR 72.8%
S
Snoorrason◆Proven🥉
Entry 29¢·427.2 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
72.4%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $125 · WR 72.4%
C
cambridgeisaac
Entry 40¢·252.4 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $100 · WR 57.3%
S
Striped-Vegetarianism
Entry 47¢·212.8 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $100 · WR 80.0%
T
tentpanda
Entry 47¢·63.5 shares
Invested
$30
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $30 · WR 80.0%
D
dranlintan
Entry 48¢·20.8 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 56.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 45¢·19.2 shares
Invested
$9
Win Rate
68.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $9 · WR 68.6%
H
Hasty-Worker
Entry 2¢·26 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $1 · WR 59.9%
S
sciuboi
Entry 2¢·29.7 shares
Invested
$0
Win Rate
71.8%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $0 · WR 71.8%
NO Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+15.0%)
Whales
24
P
paddaa🥇
Entry 45¢·8,944.1 shares
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
+$1193
+$1193INV $4.0K · WR 61.2%
P
puravida🥈
Entry 55¢·2,586.6 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $1.4K · WR 59.6%
T
Te0n2🥉
Entry 52¢·2,270.8 shares
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$83
+$83INV $1.2K · WR 66.9%
D
Dondigidin
Entry 91¢·500 shares
Invested
$453
Win Rate
63.7%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $453 · WR 63.7%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 93¢·125 shares
Invested
$116
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-43
$-43INV $116 · WR 88.6%
D
donthackme
Entry 83¢·121 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $101 · WR 87.6%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·170 shares
Invested
$85
Win Rate
89.2%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $85 · WR 89.2%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 78¢·107.5 shares
Invested
$84
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $84 · WR 86.0%
B
balthazar
Entry 65¢·113.3 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $73 · WR 72.0%
W
wienerdog
Entry 53¢·106.7 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $56 · WR 56.2%
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