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Sports66 days left

Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
53¢
53% implied
NO Price
47¢
47% implied
Volume
$25.2K
506 trades
Smart Whales
34
of 190 traders · 1 on both sides

Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place

30 MARKETS · $61.5K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

11 YESvs24 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 8 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+72 new YES$6.3K+82 new NO$4.0K
$2.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 25 buyers — left out of momentum
10 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$242 of $985 is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $432·NO $311
YES Team
Total Invested
$553
Avg Win Rate
72.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$17(-3.0%)
Whales
11
B
borntoolate.eth🥇
Entry 70¢·232 shares
$-6INV $161 · WR 81.8%
-
-5rud🥈
Entry 72¢·200 shares
$-10INV $144 · WR 60.2%
C
Cypya🥉hedged
Entry 72¢·168.2 shares·also $125 on NO
$-8INV $121 · WR 80.7%
C
cloverpmq2
Entry 68¢·65.4 shares
$-1INV $45 · WR 58.9%
A
akata
Entry 64¢·47.5 shares
+$1INV $31 · WR 56.5%
Y
yetiyetiyeti
Entry 68¢·30 shares
$-0INV $20 · WR 86.2%
G
Great-Tail
Entry 64¢·15.9 shares
+$0INV $10 · WR 66.7%
A
abadireem
Entry 65¢·15.6 shares
+$0INV $10 · WR 83.7%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 70¢·10 shares
$-0INV $7 · WR 77.4%
L
lokiwin
Entry 63¢·6.5 shares
+$0INV $4 · WR 63.6%
Showing top 10 of 11

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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