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Sports67 days left

Will Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
65¢
65% implied
NO Price
35¢
35% implied
Volume
$18.6K
241 trades
Smart Whales
14
of 91 traders

Ballon d'Or 2026: 5th Place

30 MARKETS · $31.1K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs10 NO
29%71%
71% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 77% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 66%· net of hedges
+15 new YES$1.9K+20 new NO$1.2K
$728 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
2 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $817·NO $241
YES Team
Total Invested
$817
Avg Win Rate
66.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$58(+7.1%)
Whales
4
C
Cypyi🥇
Entry 63¢·737 shares
+$17INV $462 · WR 61.2%
C
CypyaProven🥈
Entry 51¢·400 shares
+$55INV $205 · WR 80.9%
-
-5rud🥉
Entry 72¢·200 shares
$-14INV $144 · WR 60.1%
N
Nonstop-Tailspin
Entry 65¢·10 shares
—INV $7 · WR 77.8%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 31% YES: Lionel Messi finish 5th in the 2026…