EconomicsResolved
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$391.4K
5,554 trades
Smart Whales
280
of 1,111 traders
Smart Money Consensus
127 YESvs153 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $3.2K is directional: YES $3.2K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$32.7K
Avg Win Rate
63.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$22.8K(-69.8%)
Whales
127
F
Flipadelphia🥇hedged
Entry 215¢·1,990.9 shares·also $1.2K on NO
Invested
$4.3K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4279
$-4279INV $4.3K · WR 56.8%
P
pantomime🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·3,807.1 shares·also $84 on NO
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
73.5%
Position P&L
$-3814
$-3814INV $3.8K · WR 73.5%
I
ImJustKen🥉
Entry 35¢·8,805.2 shares
Invested
$3.1K
Win Rate
61.2%
Position P&L
$-3068
$-3068INV $3.1K · WR 61.2%
1
11122
Entry 15¢·15,444.2 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
$-2273
$-2273INV $2.3K · WR 60.6%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 51¢·2,813.4 shares·also $789 on NO
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1440
$-1440INV $1.4K · WR 60.0%
5
55BURGERS55FRIES55TACOS55PIES55COKES100
Entry 62¢·2,138.3 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-1319
$-1319INV $1.3K · WR 63.1%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 34¢·3,926.2 shares·also $2.2K on NO
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-1316
$-1316INV $1.3K · WR 56.3%
Y
YoshiYamamotohedged
Entry 58¢·2,152.4 shares·also $990 on NO
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
$-1238
$-1238INV $1.2K · WR 69.1%
B
bosshog◆Proven
Entry 15¢·5,622 shares
Invested
$852
Win Rate
70.9%
Position P&L
$-849
$-849INV $852 · WR 70.9%
O
Ophircresthedged
Entry 85¢·931 shares·also $139 on NO
Invested
$793
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
$-793
$-793INV $793 · WR 63.2%
Showing top 10 of 127
NO Team
Total Invested
$34.2K
Avg Win Rate
80.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$34.7K(+101.4%)
Whales
153
U
upont🥇
Entry 36¢·36,000 shares
Invested
$12.9K
Win Rate
90.8%
Position P&L
+$23112
+$23112INV $12.9K · WR 90.8%
B
Bikesarethebest🥈hedged
Entry 61¢·3,630.7 shares·also $1.3K on YES
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$1407
+$1407INV $2.2K · WR 56.3%
F
Flipadelphia🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·1,985.9 shares·also $4.3K on YES
Invested
$1.2K
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$739
+$739INV $1.2K · WR 56.8%
Y
YoshiYamamotohedged
Entry 46¢·2,152.4 shares·also $1.2K on YES
Invested
$990
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$1161
+$1161INV $990 · WR 69.1%
T
thegreengem
Entry 67¢·1,343.5 shares
Invested
$903
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$440
+$440INV $903 · WR 87.1%
E
Eatpraylovehedged
Entry 81¢·1,030.2 shares·also $581 on YES
Invested
$831
Win Rate
72.8%
Position P&L
+$198
+$198INV $831 · WR 72.8%
S
studmuffin6969hedged
Entry 60¢·1,320.2 shares·also $1.4K on YES
Invested
$789
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
+$531
+$531INV $789 · WR 60.0%
C
carySantano
Entry 70¢·1,044.9 shares
Invested
$726
Win Rate
83.3%
Position P&L
+$318
+$318INV $726 · WR 83.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 89¢·800 shares
Invested
$710
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $710 · WR 57.7%
B
Bukaj0889
Entry 18¢·1,196.4 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
+$981
+$981INV $215 · WR 91.9%
Showing top 10 of 153
Smart Whale Trades
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