PoliticsResolved
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 10% and 15%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$17.9K
241 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 89 traders
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs25 NO
11%89%
89% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $400 is directional: YES $400·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$405
Avg Win Rate
55.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$401(-99.2%)
Whales
3
F
flawfence◆Proven🥇
Entry 20¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$400
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-400
$-400INV $400 · WR 55.4%
S
ScottyNooo🥈
Entry 2¢·200 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 56.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 0¢·500 shares·also $499 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $1 · WR 57.7%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
77.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$972(+29.4%)
Whales
25
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 79¢·703.6 shares
Invested
$559
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $559 · WR 72.2%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 100¢·500 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$499
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $499 · WR 57.7%
D
donthackme🥉
Entry 100¢·487.4 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $487 · WR 87.7%
M
Motionless-Feedback
Entry 87¢·402.4 shares
Invested
$348
Win Rate
86.9%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $348 · WR 86.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 100¢·324.5 shares
Invested
$324
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $324 · WR 79.6%
B
baE92E7959377B18Fd63b772C74147724E0.E7475
Entry 78¢·314.2 shares
Invested
$244
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
+$68
+$68INV $244 · WR 87.0%
T
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
Entry 49¢·442.2 shares
Invested
$215
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$225
+$225INV $215 · WR 88.7%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 100¢·125 shares
Invested
$125
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $125 · WR 89.3%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 80.8%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 100¢·75 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $75 · WR 59.7%
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