GeopoliticsResolved

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 5, 2026?

YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$60.5K
998 trades
Smart Whales
52
of 262 traders

Smart Money Consensus

26 YESvs26 NO
50%50%
50% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $13 is directional: YES $0·NO $13

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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