Geopolitics36 days left
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by November 30, 2026?
YES Price
43¢
43% implied
NO Price
57¢
57% implied
Volume
$2.1K
103 trades
Smart Whales
4
of 46 traders
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
2 MARKETS · $10.3K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
1 YESvs3 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 14% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 3 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 65%· net of hedges
+3 new YES$54+6 new NO$78
$54 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales1 smart whale
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $275 is directional: YES $38·NO $237YES Team
Total Invested
$38
Avg Win Rate
60.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$10(-27.9%)
Whales
1
NO Team
Total Invested
$237
Avg Win Rate
63.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$51(+21.3%)
Whales
3
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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