Geopolitics19 days left
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by October 31, 2026?
YES Price
28¢
28% implied
NO Price
72¢
72% implied
Volume
$4.0K
179 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 68 traders · 1 on both sides
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?
2 MARKETS · $4.5K MATCHEDHover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
3 YESvs8 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 10% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 72%· net of hedges
+4 new YES$64+4 new NO$135
$35 of this was bought on both sides by the same 1 buyer — left out of momentum
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$82 of $1.0K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $95·NO $863YES Team
Total Invested
$136
Avg Win Rate
61.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$8(-5.9%)
Whales
3
NO Team
Total Invested
$909
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$24(+2.7%)
Whales
8
J
Johndorito🥇
Entry 77¢·535.8 shares
Invested
$410
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $410 · WR 81.8%
C
clazzy1🥈
Entry 78¢·220.4 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $172 · WR 61.9%
V
vinii🥉hedged
Entry 48¢·331.3 shares·also $41 on YES
Invested
$158
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $158 · WR 65.8%
M
MrNoItAll
Entry 69¢·162.2 shares
Invested
$112
Win Rate
89.6%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $112 · WR 89.6%
I
ineedmassage
Entry 52¢·41.7 shares
Invested
$22
Win Rate
68.1%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $22 · WR 68.1%
V
Vicious-Detective
Entry 77¢·20 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $15 · WR 68.9%
M
Mahnic
Entry 69¢·21.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $15 · WR 60.5%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 84¢·6 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $5 · WR 68.9%
Smart Whale Trades
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