GeopoliticsResolved
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$50.2K
658 trades
Smart Whales
33
of 238 traders
Smart Money Consensus
26 YESvs7 NO
79%21%
79% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$11.5K
Avg Win Rate
72.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$330(+2.9%)
Whales
26
P
Peppery-Espalier🥇
Entry 99¢·2,614 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $2.6K · WR 62.2%
G
Giddy-Plywood🥈
Entry 99¢·2,490.8 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $2.5K · WR 100.0%
N
nitsangalon🥉
Entry 93¢·2,535.4 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$183
+$183INV $2.4K · WR 55.9%
E
Everestpredictions
Entry 101¢·1,438.3 shares
Invested
$1.4K
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $1.4K · WR 71.3%
S
Sonix
Entry 99¢·690.9 shares
Invested
$687
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $687 · WR 73.6%
F
Fumbling-Oldie
Entry 99¢·493.6 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $487 · WR 76.9%
M
Marco-Rubio
Entry 97¢·455.6 shares
Invested
$442
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $442 · WR 62.6%
M
MrMelonHead
Entry 89¢·224.7 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $200 · WR 65.3%
M
mightymike
Entry 93¢·214.9 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $200 · WR 75.5%
M
melganis◆Proven
Entry 93¢·200 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $186 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 26
NO Team
Total Invested
$76
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$76(-100.0%)
Whales
7
P
PrimePenguin🥇hedged
Entry 10¢·400 shares·also $178 on YES
Invested
$40
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $40 · WR 59.5%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥈
Entry 5¢·469.8 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 56.3%
W
Welcome2026🥉
Entry 5¢·133.8 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 57.1%
T
Te0n2
Entry 3¢·100 shares
Invested
$3
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $3 · WR 66.9%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 0¢·1,675.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.5%
T
Trim-Caution
Entry 1¢·143.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
90.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 90.5%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 2¢·40 shares·also $27 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1012ms