GeopoliticsResolved
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$82.2K
1,221 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 330 traders
Smart Money Consensus
25 YESvs11 NO
69%31%
69% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$11.2K
Avg Win Rate
75.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$444(+4.0%)
Whales
25
G
Giddy-Plywood🥇
Entry 98¢·3,348.4 shares
Invested
$3.3K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$53
+$53INV $3.3K · WR 100.0%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·2,805.4 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $2.8K · WR 57.7%
F
Fumbling-Oldie🥉
Entry 96¢·2,003.9 shares
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$77
+$77INV $1.9K · WR 76.9%
F
fwfwefweg
Entry 91¢·1,640.4 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$155
+$155INV $1.5K · WR 56.9%
W
Witty-Surprise
Entry 95¢·530.2 shares
Invested
$502
Win Rate
82.1%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $502 · WR 82.1%
J
JoshuaTree
Entry 91¢·350 shares
Invested
$318
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$32
+$32INV $318 · WR 57.9%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 89¢·278 shares·also $23 on NO
Invested
$248
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $248 · WR 59.5%
M
mightymike
Entry 93¢·258.1 shares
Invested
$240
Win Rate
75.5%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $240 · WR 75.5%
M
Metusalem
Entry 93¢·108.2 shares
Invested
$101
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $101 · WR 64.4%
M
melganis◆Proven
Entry 89¢·50 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
75.9%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $45 · WR 75.9%
Showing top 10 of 25
NO Team
Total Invested
$109
Avg Win Rate
65.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$109(-100.0%)
Whales
11
E
ED99999🥇
Entry 4¢·1,008.6 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
$-39
$-39INV $39 · WR 73.6%
P
PrimePenguin🥈hedged
Entry 13¢·174.7 shares·also $248 on YES
Invested
$23
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 59.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥉hedged
Entry 3¢·591.7 shares·also $2.8K on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 57.7%
E
Everestpredictions
Entry 6¢·168.6 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 71.3%
T
Te0n2
Entry 6¢·100 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 66.9%
E
easterpink
Entry 1¢·500 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
59.7%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 59.7%
P
Peppery-Espalier
Entry 5¢·106 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
62.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 62.2%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 1¢·234.2 shares·also $41 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.3%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 2¢·60 shares·also $33 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
P
PolyJaguar
Entry 0¢·624.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 57.5%
Showing top 10 of 11
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