Politics4 days left
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%?
YES Price
2¢
2% implied
NO Price
98¢
98% implied
Volume
$32.8K
482 trades
Smart Whales
51
of 146 traders
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $727.2K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
7 YESvs44 NO
14%86%
86% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 2 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+33 new YES$882+61 new NO$15.9K
$252 of this was bought on both sides by the same 10 buyers — left out of momentum
6 smart whales35 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $407 is directional: YES $350·NO $58YES Team
Total Invested
$587
Avg Win Rate
70.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$276(-47.0%)
Whales
7
S
SnowLover7◆Proven🥇
Entry 5¢·4,128.5 shares
Invested
$206
Win Rate
65.1%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $206 · WR 65.1%
G
GamGanapati🥈hedged
Entry 90¢·197 shares·also $37 on NO
Invested
$177
Win Rate
71.3%
Position P&L
$-172
$-172INV $177 · WR 71.3%
P
Pure-Threat◆Proven🥉
Entry 11¢·1,307.7 shares
Invested
$143
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $143 · WR 82.0%
M
Mitkk
Entry 2¢·1,635.6 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $29 · WR 56.4%
3
0x34c65c6b...
Entry 5¢·500 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $25 · WR 69.6%
S
spaceloaf
Entry 4¢·113.5 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.9%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $5 · WR 65.9%
Showing top 6 of 7
NO Team
Total Invested
$16.8K
Avg Win Rate
83.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+10.6%)
Whales
44
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 93¢·6,381.3 shares
Invested
$6.0K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$267
+$267INV $6.0K · WR 87.6%
B
Bigggggggg🥈
Entry 75¢·3,211.5 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$710
+$710INV $2.4K · WR 85.9%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 96¢·2,451.1 shares
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $2.4K · WR 72.1%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 96¢·1,732 shares
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$31
+$31INV $1.7K · WR 85.9%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 95¢·430.1 shares
Invested
$408
Win Rate
79.7%
Position P&L
+$12
+$12INV $408 · WR 79.7%
F
fourcoin15m
Entry 95¢·415.4 shares
Invested
$396
Win Rate
84.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $396 · WR 84.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 94¢·364 shares
Invested
$342
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $342 · WR 88.1%
E
e46m3
Entry 96¢·335.5 shares
Invested
$323
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $323 · WR 79.6%
G
god83743894
Entry 90¢·290 shares
Invested
$261
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $261 · WR 85.9%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 80¢·292.5 shares
Invested
$235
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
+$50
+$50INV $235 · WR 84.7%
Showing top 10 of 44
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