Politics8 days left
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%?
YES Price
73¢
73% implied
NO Price
27¢
27% implied
Volume
$6.0K
220 trades
Smart Whales
26
of 86 traders
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
9 MARKETS · $26.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
2 YESvs24 NO
92%
92% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+8 new YES$337+29 new NO$885
$331 of this was bought on both sides by the same 6 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $29 is directional: YES $29·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$99
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4(-4.3%)
Whales
2
NO Team
Total Invested
$656
Avg Win Rate
80.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$256(-39.0%)
Whales
24
D
donthackme🥇
Entry 41¢·445.1 shares
Invested
$183
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $183 · WR 87.7%
L
lpgb🥈
Entry 50¢·155.2 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
77.5%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $78 · WR 77.5%
B
balthazar🥉
Entry 40¢·140 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $56 · WR 72.1%
A
Antony82hedged
Entry 61¢·90 shares·also $70 on YES
Invested
$55
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $55 · WR 61.4%
M
mustbethewater
Entry 45¢·110 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-19
$-19INV $50 · WR 79.6%
G
GingerMcKenna
Entry 50¢·89.6 shares
Invested
$45
Win Rate
84.7%
Position P&L
$-20
$-20INV $45 · WR 84.7%
P
plainfolder
Entry 49¢·80 shares
Invested
$39
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $39 · WR 86.0%
E
e46m3
Entry 52¢·56.1 shares
Invested
$29
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
$-14
$-14INV $29 · WR 79.6%
J
JordanMooney◆Proven
Entry 56¢·47.5 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $26 · WR 85.5%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 40¢·64 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $26 · WR 88.7%
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