2 days left
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m?
YES Price
91¢
91% implied
NO Price
9¢
9% implied
Volume
$15.4K
326 trades
Smart Whales
45
of 173 traders
"How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office
6 MARKETS · $31.7K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 15m
1¢+32¢$2.3K8/16Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 15m+32¢1¢
$2.3K8/16
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m
1¢+19¢$3.1K5/20Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m+19¢1¢
$3.1K5/20
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m
0¢+32¢$2.1K7/15Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m+32¢0¢
$2.1K7/15
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m
9¢+13¢$5.3K5/18Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m+13¢9¢
$5.3K5/18
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs27 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 91¢
YES 40%NO 60%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 91¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 11 YES vs 7 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 96%· net of hedges
$2.9K
$220
+43 new YES · 10 smart whales+54 new NO · 17 smart whales
$189 bought on both sides by the same 16 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘsplit 4 · 3
YES 4NO 3one dot = one wallet
4 wallets on YES
3 wallets on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 22h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $5.8K is directional: YES $5.5K·NO $337YES Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
81.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$470(+8.3%)
Whales
18
C
cat-dog◆Proven🥇
Entry 83¢·3,382 shares
Invested
$2.8K
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
+$294
+$294INV $2.8K · WR 80.6%
S
safubets◆Proven🥈
Entry 92¢·2,511.3 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
87.0%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $2.3K · WR 87.0%
O
Ox79879657hjgdsghgdj98090klfdkld🥉
Entry 70¢·222.8 shares
Invested
$156
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $156 · WR 55.3%
I
Insignificant-Affair◆Proven
Entry 50¢·243 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$100
+$100INV $122 · WR 56.4%
C
carteloriginal
Entry 91¢·56.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $51 · WR 57.1%
C
Classic-Loggiahedged
Entry 90¢·52 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $47 · WR 60.3%
P
Pure-Eyelinerhedged
Entry 90¢·30.7 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $28 · WR 57.8%
E
Exciting-Hat-Vegetarianhedged
Entry 90¢·26.3 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 60.3%
C
Colossal-Bookcase-Saloon
Entry 90¢·26.2 shares
Invested
$24
Win Rate
60.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $24 · WR 60.5%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 90¢·23.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $21 · WR 60.4%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$610
Avg Win Rate
68.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$337(-55.2%)
Whales
27
M
Mandalorec🥇
Entry 35¢·934 shares
Invested
$328
Win Rate
62.3%
Position P&L
$-247
$-247INV $328 · WR 62.3%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 13¢·1,010.2 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
71.9%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $135 · WR 71.9%
G
god83743894🥉
Entry 20¢·137.2 shares
Invested
$28
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $28 · WR 86.0%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 91¢·20 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $18 · WR 88.6%
K
kaxel78
Entry 13¢·124.1 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $16 · WR 82.0%
Q
qwen300.fund
Entry 9¢·162.1 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $15 · WR 86.1%
Z
zerone777
Entry 13¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
80.6%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 80.6%
V
Vale54holi
Entry 13¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 80.0%
L
Likaseent
Entry 13¢·50 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
78.5%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $7 · WR 78.5%
C
Classic-Loggiahedged
Entry 12¢·49.3 shares·also $47 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $6 · WR 60.3%
Showing top 10 of 27
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