GeopoliticsResolved
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$105.6K
1,598 trades
Smart Whales
36
of 322 traders
Smart Money Consensus
23 YESvs13 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$10.0K
Avg Win Rate
76.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.2K(+41.7%)
Whales
23
F
Fumbling-Oldie🥇
Entry 97¢·3,777.6 shares
Invested
$3.7K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $3.7K · WR 76.9%
G
Giddy-Plywood🥈
Entry 57¢·4,790.5 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
100.0%
Position P&L
+$2060
+$2060INV $2.7K · WR 100.0%
A
Arman2🥉
Entry 65¢·3,570.1 shares
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$1245
+$1245INV $2.3K · WR 57.7%
S
Salomon-Brothers
Entry 49¢·1,116 shares
Invested
$548
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$568
+$568INV $548 · WR 56.8%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 155¢·147.4 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$229
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $229 · WR 56.3%
A
alon007
Entry 86¢·150 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $129 · WR 85.2%
C
Car
Entry 45¢·222 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
64.9%
Position P&L
+$122
+$122INV $100 · WR 64.9%
S
satoshicript
Entry 85¢·106.3 shares
Invested
$90
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $90 · WR 80.0%
D
Dark-Piracy
Entry 53¢·87.7 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $47 · WR 62.5%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 87¢·39.6 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $34 · WR 59.5%
Showing top 10 of 23
NO Team
Total Invested
$773
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$774(-100.0%)
Whales
13
7
78262🥇
Entry 55¢·517 shares
Invested
$286
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
$-286
$-286INV $286 · WR 56.7%
M
Marco-Rubio🥈hedged
Entry 43¢·431 shares·also $14 on YES
Invested
$187
Win Rate
62.6%
Position P&L
$-187
$-187INV $187 · WR 62.6%
D
discombobulated-chicken🥉
Entry 46¢·400 shares
Invested
$186
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-186
$-186INV $186 · WR 56.8%
F
Female-Tailbudhedged
Entry 30¢·153.3 shares·also $18 on YES
Invested
$46
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $46 · WR 56.8%
M
mr.fig
Entry 19¢·130.3 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.0%
G
gellet
Entry 25¢·66.6 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-16
$-16INV $16 · WR 59.5%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRoll
Entry 16¢·60 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 56.8%
P
PrimePenguinhedged
Entry 6¢·141 shares·also $34 on YES
Invested
$8
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $8 · WR 59.5%
J
JoshuaTree
Entry 15¢·25.4 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $4 · WR 57.9%
B
Bikesarethebesthedged
Entry 1¢·252.7 shares·also $229 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 13
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