discombobulated-chicken · Polymarket wallet 0xfbd4…194b

Wallet snapshot

discombobulated-chicken has made 2,532 trades on Polymarket across 341 markets, $525K in volume. Most of it is in geopolitics (30%) and sports (18%). On 329 resolved markets the win rate is 56.8%, lifetime P&L +$5,898. It holds 1 open position right now; the largest is No on "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?". Last trade: Jul 20, 2026.

Largest open positions

• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No · $1 · 50¢ → 99¢

Latest closed positions

• Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes · -$18 · Aug 1, 2026
• Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?No · -$16 · Jul 24, 2026
• China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes · +$498 · Jul 20, 2026
• Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes · +$66 · Jul 12, 2026
• Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes · +$75 · Jul 9, 2026
• Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes · -$242 · Jul 6, 2026
• Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes · -$117 · Jul 4, 2026
• Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes · -$251 · Jul 1, 2026
• US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?Yes · -$263 · Jul 1, 2026
• Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No · +$204 · Jul 1, 2026

Snapshot from OrcaLayer data, refreshed every 10 minutes.