GeopoliticsResolved
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
YES Price
100¢
100% implied
NO Price
0¢
0% implied
Volume
$52.8K
952 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 278 traders
Smart Money Consensus
18 YESvs10 NO
64%36%
64% of smart money holding this market is on YES
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
YES Team
Total Invested
$8.6K
Avg Win Rate
63.8%
Aggregate P&L
+$307(+3.6%)
Whales
18
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 98¢·5,139.6 shares·also $28 on NO
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$106
+$106INV $5.0K · WR 57.7%
F
Fumbling-Oldie🥈
Entry 98¢·1,132.4 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
76.9%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $1.1K · WR 76.9%
A
Arman2🥉
Entry 98¢·625.9 shares
Invested
$611
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $611 · WR 57.7%
S
stinkbidbot
Entry 90¢·638.5 shares
Invested
$575
Win Rate
90.9%
Position P&L
+$63
+$63INV $575 · WR 90.9%
I
Itsreallygonnahappen
Entry 94¢·457.2 shares
Invested
$429
Win Rate
72.3%
Position P&L
+$29
+$29INV $429 · WR 72.3%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven
Entry 90¢·237.9 shares
Invested
$213
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $213 · WR 56.3%
U
Untried-Ideal
Entry 97¢·139 shares
Invested
$135
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $135 · WR 65.8%
A
alon007
Entry 94¢·130 shares
Invested
$122
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $122 · WR 85.2%
A
Advanced-Buzz
Entry 90¢·111 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$11
+$11INV $100 · WR 57.9%
T
Te0n2hedged
Entry 91¢·100 shares·also $7 on NO
Invested
$91
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $91 · WR 66.9%
Showing top 10 of 18
NO Team
Total Invested
$66
Avg Win Rate
62.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$66(-100.0%)
Whales
10
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥇hedged
Entry 7¢·400 shares·also $5.0K on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 57.7%
P
PrimePenguin🥈hedged
Entry 10¢·176.8 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$17
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $17 · WR 59.5%
T
Te0n2🥉hedged
Entry 4¢·200 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$7
Win Rate
66.9%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 66.9%
B
Berlin.
Entry 6¢·109.7 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $7 · WR 83.0%
L
LetTheGoodTimesRollhedged
Entry 2¢·100.7 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$2
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 56.8%
7
7dry6ytyqpbn
Entry 1¢·135.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.7%
S
sleepsomewhile
Entry 11¢·9.3 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 86.7%
T
Trifling-Flag
Entry 11¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 67.8%
F
ffsFsfq
Entry 13¢·5.7 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 66.8%
B
Burdensome-Accusation
Entry 12¢·5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 56.8%
Smart Whale Trades
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