Resolved

Will Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?

YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$2.4K
88 trades
Smart Whales
10
of 42 traders

Smart Money Consensus

2 YESvs8 NO
20%80%
80% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 97%· net of hedges
+10 new YES$34+8 new NO$878
$16 of this was bought on both sides by the same 2 buyers — left out of momentum
0 smart whales4 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $55 is directional: YES $0·NO $55

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 612ms
Smart money 20% YES: Hal Varian win the Nobel Prize…