4 days left
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1?
YES Price
85¢
85% implied
NO Price
15¢
15% implied
Volume
$9.9K
265 trades
Smart Whales
35
of 131 traders · 1 on both sides
# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now on week 1?
6 MARKETS · $24.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Pre-Load Now" get at least 50 million views on week 1
0¢+17¢$2.1K3/15Pre-Load Now" get at least 50 million views on week 1+17¢0¢
$2.1K3/15
Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1←
85¢−53¢$9.9K7/15Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1←−53¢85¢
$9.9K7/15
Pre-Load Now" get between 20 and 30 million views on week 1
14¢+9¢$6.6K3/10Pre-Load Now" get between 20 and 30 million views on week 1+9¢14¢
$6.6K3/10
Pre-Load Now" get between 30 and 40 million views on week 1
0¢+11¢$1.8K2/16Pre-Load Now" get between 30 and 40 million views on week 1+11¢0¢
$1.8K2/16
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
12 YESvs24 NO
Wallets vs price
Price 85¢
YES 33%NO 67%of Smart Money wallets holding this marketYES price 85¢
Net of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 12 YES vs 4 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 88%· net of hedges
$2.6K
$521
+38 new YES · 9 smart whales+45 new NO · 19 smart whales
$410 bought on both sides by the same 12 buyers — left out of momentum
In-form wallets ⓘ4 of 5 on YES
YES 4NO 1one dot = one wallet
1 wallet on NO
The top 10% of wallets by Form vs price: over the last 90 days they won more often than the prices they paid implied. In a test on closed markets, when at least 2/3 of three or more such wallets held one side, that side also won more often than its price implied. Positions updated 6h ago. This describes who holds what, not a forecast. How it was tested
Teams by
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$62 of $2.7K is hedged across different prices by 1 wallet. True directional: YES $2.5K·NO $168YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$157(+6.2%)
Whales
12
V
Vivacious-Loan🥇
Entry 82¢·1,162 shares
Invested
$956
Win Rate
74.2%
Position P&L
+$26
+$26INV $956 · WR 74.2%
G
Gabriell11🥈
Entry 73¢·662.3 shares
Invested
$487
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$73
+$73INV $487 · WR 55.6%
S
shovelingdigging◆Proven🥉
Entry 83¢·550 shares
Invested
$458
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $458 · WR 66.8%
H
Hit-man
Entry 82¢·308.1 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $252 · WR 60.4%
P
PaddyAlphahedged
Entry 73¢·293 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$215
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
+$33
+$33INV $215 · WR 67.3%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 78¢·157.7 shares
Invested
$123
Win Rate
57.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $123 · WR 57.1%
B
big-bird1
Entry 82¢·23.6 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
69.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 69.1%
U
univacca
Entry 85¢·11.9 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $10 · WR 65.5%
L
liverpoolfc◆Proven
Entry 85¢·10 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $8 · WR 81.5%
S
savvylemur
Entry 87¢·7.4 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
65.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $6 · WR 65.3%
Showing top 10 of 12
NO Team
Total Invested
$349
Avg Win Rate
63.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$58(-16.6%)
Whales
24
O
Optimus-◆Proven🥇
Entry 13¢·791.7 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $99 · WR 61.6%
J
Jamieeee◆Proven🥈
Entry 37¢·181.8 shares
Invested
$68
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $68 · WR 55.8%
P
PaddyAlpha🥉hedged
Entry 25¢·125.6 shares·also $215 on YES
Invested
$31
Win Rate
67.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $31 · WR 67.3%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 19¢·101.5 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $19 · WR 60.3%
S
Shallow-Diadem
Entry 17¢·83.4 shares
Invested
$14
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $14 · WR 60.1%
B
BetaShrimp
Entry 18¢·69.6 shares
Invested
$13
Win Rate
59.0%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $13 · WR 59.0%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 24¢·44.3 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 60.4%
C
Comfortable-Sandwich
Entry 24¢·44.2 shares
Invested
$11
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $11 · WR 59.9%
R
Radiant-Nonbeliever
Entry 21¢·50 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
60.4%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 60.4%
P
Pure-Eyeliner
Entry 21¢·46.4 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $10 · WR 57.8%
Showing top 10 of 24
Smart Whale Trades
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