Resolved
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$65.7K
1,146 trades
Smart Whales
61
of 247 traders
April 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $67.4K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026←
0¢+18¢$65.7K11/50by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026←+18¢0¢
$65.7K11/50
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
24¢—$1470/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—24¢
$1470/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs50 NO
18%82%
82% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.5K is directional: YES $1.5K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-98.0%)
Whales
11
R
russell110320🥇
Entry 26¢·5,817.4 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-1522
$-1522INV $1.5K · WR 67.5%
B
Bikesarethebest◆Proven🥈
Entry 13¢·353.5 shares
Invested
$47
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $47 · WR 56.3%
H
hellokittyhellokitty🥉hedged
Entry 23¢·125.8 shares·also $557 on NO
Invested
$29
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-29
$-29INV $29 · WR 66.6%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 17¢·140.7 shares
Invested
$23
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $23 · WR 80.8%
5
5ttegrirmw7p
Entry 35¢·60.2 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.8%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 57.8%
H
Hot-Skull◆Proven
Entry 1¢·913.1 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 70.2%
N
NoTeacher
Entry 10¢·60 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 56.1%
Showing top 7 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.1K
Avg Win Rate
82.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+29.0%)
Whales
50
I
influenz.eth🥇
Entry 78¢·6,931.8 shares
Invested
$5.4K
Win Rate
85.8%
Position P&L
+$1519
+$1519INV $5.4K · WR 85.8%
M
melchior1248🥈
Entry 82¢·1,638.7 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
69.2%
Position P&L
+$289
+$289INV $1.3K · WR 69.2%
P
products🥉
Entry 68¢·1,974 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
86.6%
Position P&L
+$626
+$626INV $1.3K · WR 86.6%
H
hellokittyhellokittyhedged
Entry 77¢·721.6 shares·also $29 on YES
Invested
$557
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$165
+$165INV $557 · WR 66.6%
I
i18z
Entry 98¢·567.3 shares
Invested
$553
Win Rate
87.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $553 · WR 87.1%
S
Scornful-Conductor
Entry 57¢·795.2 shares
Invested
$450
Win Rate
86.7%
Position P&L
+$346
+$346INV $450 · WR 86.7%
R
rated
Entry 75¢·426 shares
Invested
$319
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$107
+$107INV $319 · WR 87.7%
N
northdrawer
Entry 80¢·297 shares
Invested
$238
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $238 · WR 87.7%
K
korda77
Entry 71¢·249 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
85.2%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $177 · WR 85.2%
M
mymacbook◆Proven
Entry 90¢·190.1 shares
Invested
$172
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $172 · WR 80.1%
Showing top 10 of 50
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