YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$475.0K
1,599 trades
Smart Whales
46
of 293 traders
July 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)
7 MARKETS · $476.6K MATCHEDSmart Money
by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026
23¢−23¢$1640/1by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in October 2026−23¢23¢
$1640/1
by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026
29¢—$50/0by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026—29¢
$50/0
by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026
44¢—$950/0by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026—44¢
$950/0
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
11 YESvs35 NO
24%76%
76% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 100% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 0 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $1.1K is directional: YES $1.1K·NO $0YES Team
Total Invested
$7.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$7.6K(-99.2%)
Whales
11
A
AdvantagePlayer🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·5,555 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$5.5K
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-5476
$-5476INV $5.5K · WR 57.4%
K
Kapii◆Proven🥈
Entry 1¢·108,286.8 shares
Invested
$1.1K
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-1131
$-1131INV $1.1K · WR 57.9%
R
russell110320🥉hedged
Entry 17¢·4,021 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$677
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
$-677
$-677INV $677 · WR 67.5%
S
Steep-Public
Entry 14¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
69.9%
Position P&L
$-140
$-140INV $140 · WR 69.9%
C
CPUhedged
Entry 14¢·647.4 shares·also $1.3K on NO
Invested
$88
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
$-88
$-88INV $88 · WR 64.0%
G
gopfan2hedged
Entry 9¢·849.9 shares·also $715 on NO
Invested
$75
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-75
$-75INV $75 · WR 60.2%
V
Varyag
Entry 1¢·1,406 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
69.0%
Position P&L
$-15
$-15INV $15 · WR 69.0%
D
Drunken-Mentat
Entry 0¢·1,245 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
75.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 75.4%
Showing top 8 of 11
NO Team
Total Invested
$43.3K
Avg Win Rate
71.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$22.5K(+51.9%)
Whales
35
L
Liquidifier🥇
Entry 100¢·10,000 shares
Invested
$10.0K
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $10.0K · WR 56.3%
W
wokerjoesleeper🥈
Entry 71¢·9,538.8 shares
Invested
$6.8K
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$2777
+$2777INV $6.8K · WR 87.6%
A
aureli◆Proven🥉
Entry 97¢·5,219.2 shares
Invested
$5.1K
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $5.1K · WR 65.2%
4
456ythgbvcadscvb
Entry 98¢·5,000 shares
Invested
$4.9K
Win Rate
77.6%
Position P&L
+$96
+$96INV $4.9K · WR 77.6%
R
russell110320hedged
Entry 100¢·4,021 shares·also $677 on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
67.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $4.0K · WR 67.5%
A
aenews2◆Proven
Entry 94¢·2,854.4 shares
Invested
$2.7K
Win Rate
74.6%
Position P&L
+$176
+$176INV $2.7K · WR 74.6%
N
Novus0rdoSeclorum
Entry 49¢·2,991.2 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$1522
+$1522INV $1.5K · WR 83.8%
M
montty
Entry 95¢·1,396 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
73.6%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $1.3K · WR 73.6%
L
lettuce
Entry 93¢·1,414.5 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
82.0%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $1.3K · WR 82.0%
C
CPUhedged
Entry 87¢·1,463.1 shares·also $88 on YES
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
64.0%
Position P&L
+$192
+$192INV $1.3K · WR 64.0%
Showing top 10 of 35
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 1292ms