Resolved
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.3K
433 trades
Smart Whales
32
of 155 traders
Longest GitHub critical incident in September?
6 MARKETS · $23.5K MATCHEDSmart Money
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours←
0¢+16¢$7.3K5/27Will GitHub's longest critical incident in September 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours←+16¢0¢
$7.3K5/27
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour
2¢−2¢$1.9K0/5Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be less than 1 hour−2¢2¢
$1.9K0/5
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours
1¢−1¢$1.4K0/5Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 1 and 3 hours−1¢1¢
$1.4K0/5
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours
51¢+9¢$4.6K6/4Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours+9¢51¢
$4.6K6/4
Hover a row for the full Polymarket title
Smart Money Consensus
5 YESvs27 NO
16%84%
84% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 28% YES by dollars · 4 YES vs 12 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $234 is directional: YES $67·NO $168YES Team
Total Invested
$68
Avg Win Rate
55.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$66(-97.2%)
Whales
5
E
estoicc🥇
Entry 44¢·141.9 shares
Invested
$62
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $62 · WR 55.5%
5
0x53176bdc...🥈
Entry 23¢·9.1 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $2 · WR 58.8%
2
0x20dacbd9...🥉
Entry 23¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 55.1%
E
0xea58941e...
Entry 23¢·4.5 shares
Invested
$1
Win Rate
60.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $1 · WR 60.0%
Showing top 4 of 5
NO Team
Total Invested
$485
Avg Win Rate
78.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$355(+73.1%)
Whales
27
M
Maximus374◆Proven🥇
Entry 78¢·161.5 shares
Invested
$126
Win Rate
72.9%
Position P&L
+$35
+$35INV $126 · WR 72.9%
B
balthazar🥈
Entry 54¢·134.9 shares
Invested
$73
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$62
+$62INV $73 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 52¢·119.8 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$57
+$57INV $63 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 54¢·80 shares
Invested
$43
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $43 · WR 86.0%
Q
quietparcel
Entry 50¢·80 shares
Invested
$40
Win Rate
88.7%
Position P&L
+$40
+$40INV $40 · WR 88.7%
S
smallreceipt
Entry 51¢·50 shares
Invested
$26
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $26 · WR 89.0%
G
graynotebook19
Entry 50¢·40 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
89.3%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $20 · WR 89.3%
G
god83743894
Entry 51¢·35.5 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
85.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 85.7%
J
just-bettor
Entry 75¢·19.9 shares
Invested
$15
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $15 · WR 62.0%
Q
qwen4.1.fund
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 27
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 998ms