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15 days left

Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?

View on Polymarket
YES Price
49¢
49% implied
NO Price
51¢
51% implied
Volume
$5.5K
342 trades
Smart Whales
9
of 96 traders

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

3 MARKETS · $14.4K MATCHED

Smart Money Consensus

4 YESvs5 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 2 YES vs 1 NO taking a side
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 75%· net of hedges
+9 new YES$75+9 new NO$128
$96 of this was bought on both sides by the same 4 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale0 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $326 is directional: YES $306·NO $20
YES Team
Total Invested
$324
Avg Win Rate
61.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$94(+28.9%)
Whales
4
Q
QR1🥇
Entry 38¢·645.6 shares
+$63INV $244 · WR 60.3%
W
Witty-Birch🥈
Entry 32¢·196.4 shares
+$31INV $62 · WR 64.7%
S
Secondary-Magic🥉
Entry 49¢·30 shares
—INV $15 · WR 65.9%
G
garbagecollect4
Entry 53¢·6 shares
$-0INV $3 · WR 68.9%

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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