PoliticsResolved
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$82.8K
931 trades
Smart Whales
49
of 199 traders
Smart Money Consensus
13 YESvs36 NO
27%74%
74% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 47% YES by dollars · 9 YES vs 5 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $843 is directional: YES $398·NO $445YES Team
Total Invested
$650
Avg Win Rate
61.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$638(-98.1%)
Whales
13
G
gambler925🥇
Entry 10¢·2,000 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-195
$-195INV $200 · WR 56.3%
M
melchior1248🥈hedged
Entry 14¢·1,154.4 shares·also $5.0K on NO
Invested
$164
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
$-164
$-164INV $164 · WR 69.6%
S
seal7◆Proven🥉
Entry 22¢·249.7 shares
Invested
$56
Win Rate
60.3%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 60.3%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 16¢·303 shares·also $1.8K on NO
Invested
$48
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $48 · WR 59.6%
P
PetrGrepl
Entry 12¢·400 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $48 · WR 66.7%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
Entry 19¢·200 shares
Invested
$38
Win Rate
57.5%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $38 · WR 57.5%
E
Eliasjunior
Entry 14¢·222.7 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $31 · WR 55.5%
G
GenaTheBondKilIer◆Proven
Entry 20¢·150 shares
Invested
$31
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-31
$-31INV $31 · WR 55.6%
R
reydelas
Entry 9¢·200 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
80.0%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $18 · WR 80.0%
E
Edje25
Entry 1¢·1,560.1 shares
Invested
$12
Win Rate
59.5%
Position P&L
$-9
$-9INV $12 · WR 59.5%
Showing top 10 of 13
NO Team
Total Invested
$26.5K
Avg Win Rate
71.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.1K(+19.1%)
Whales
36
B
balthazar🥇
Entry 88¢·16,493.9 shares
Invested
$14.5K
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
+$2039
+$2039INV $14.5K · WR 72.0%
M
melchior1248🥈hedged
Entry 84¢·5,912 shares·also $164 on YES
Invested
$5.0K
Win Rate
69.6%
Position P&L
+$956
+$956INV $5.0K · WR 69.6%
Q
qwen300.fund🥉
Entry 96¢·2,237 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$97
+$97INV $2.1K · WR 86.0%
P
puravidahedged
Entry 78¢·2,246.7 shares·also $48 on YES
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
59.6%
Position P&L
+$492
+$492INV $1.8K · WR 59.6%
U
ultimateunicorn
Entry 82¢·457.9 shares
Invested
$376
Win Rate
72.2%
Position P&L
+$81
+$81INV $376 · WR 72.2%
E
e46m3
Entry 78¢·437.5 shares
Invested
$340
Win Rate
79.3%
Position P&L
+$98
+$98INV $340 · WR 79.3%
G
godblessme2026
Entry 91¢·320 shares
Invested
$292
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
+$28
+$28INV $292 · WR 88.0%
C
Classic-Loggia
Entry 95¢·301 shares
Invested
$287
Win Rate
59.8%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $287 · WR 59.8%
S
Spotless-Investigator-Overcoat
Entry 99¢·203 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $200 · WR 59.9%
L
Limping-Baggie-Technique
Entry 93¢·213.3 shares
Invested
$198
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$15
+$15INV $198 · WR 59.9%
Showing top 10 of 36
Smart Whale Trades
Loading trades...
Price History (YES)
Loading chart...
Loaded in 144ms