GeopoliticsResolved
Will fewer than 180 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$7.1K
894 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 277 traders
Smart Money Consensus
29 YESvs37 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 58% YES by dollars · 25 YES vs 27 NO taking a side
Quiet 24h — no new smart whale entries
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
No wallet here holds both sides — all $248 is directional: YES $144·NO $105YES Team
Total Invested
$697
Avg Win Rate
75.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$682(-97.8%)
Whales
29
S
Subdued-Pasta🥇hedged
Entry 56¢·744.5 shares·also $573 on NO
Invested
$417
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
$-417
$-417INV $417 · WR 85.5%
A
ArmageddonRewardsBilly🥈
Entry 61¢·196.6 shares
Invested
$120
Win Rate
57.7%
Position P&L
$-120
$-120INV $120 · WR 57.7%
S
Shy-Note◆Proven🥉
Entry 43¢·110 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-42
$-42INV $48 · WR 56.8%
M
Masculine-Expert
Entry 48¢·52.1 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
67.4%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $25 · WR 67.4%
A
A0A0A
Entry 46¢·41 shares
Invested
$19
Win Rate
76.8%
Position P&L
$-17
$-17INV $19 · WR 76.8%
F
fi5hhedged
Entry 60¢·17.7 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 61.3%
6
666688888hedged
Entry 32¢·20 shares·also $6 on NO
Invested
$6
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $6 · WR 74.1%
I
itsjustcheddar
Entry 26¢·20 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
80.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $5 · WR 80.8%
9
0x9904d9c7...
Entry 64¢·7.8 shares
Invested
$5
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 66.7%
B
beatrix99
Entry 76¢·4.6 shares
Invested
$4
Win Rate
81.8%
Position P&L
$-3
$-3INV $4 · WR 81.8%
Showing top 10 of 29
NO Team
Total Invested
$839
Avg Win Rate
83.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$332(+39.5%)
Whales
37
S
Subdued-Pasta🥇hedged
Entry 84¢·685.5 shares·also $417 on YES
Invested
$573
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$113
+$113INV $573 · WR 85.5%
H
HarpoonSignals🥈
Entry 99¢·54.5 shares
Invested
$54
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $54 · WR 93.8%
E
e46m3🥉
Entry 49¢·105.6 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
79.6%
Position P&L
+$54
+$54INV $52 · WR 79.6%
P
plainfolder
Entry 49¢·94 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$48
+$48INV $46 · WR 86.0%
N
northdrawer
Entry 53¢·34.9 shares
Invested
$18
Win Rate
87.7%
Position P&L
+$17
+$17INV $18 · WR 87.7%
F
Flimsy-Handle
Entry 50¢·20 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
83.9%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $10 · WR 83.9%
F
fi5hhedged
Entry 54¢·17.7 shares·also $11 on YES
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $10 · WR 61.3%
C
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed
Entry 43¢·16.2 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $7 · WR 55.3%
C
c-0729
Entry 51¢·12 shares
Invested
$6
Win Rate
86.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $6 · WR 86.5%
6
666688888hedged
Entry 28¢·20 shares·also $6 on YES
Invested
$6
Win Rate
74.1%
Position P&L
+$14
+$14INV $6 · WR 74.1%
Showing top 10 of 37
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